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US dollar up as Brexit fears contrast with solid US data, Fed speakers

Wednesday, March 29, 2017 - 06:40

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The US dollar rose on Tuesday, bouncing from four-month lows, as a top Federal Reserve official reinforced expectations of more US rate hikes to come while political uncertainties surrounding Britain's exit from the EU pressured European currencies.

[NEW YORK] The US dollar rose on Tuesday, bouncing from four-month lows, as a top Federal Reserve official reinforced expectations of more US rate hikes to come while political uncertainties surrounding Britain's exit from the EU pressured European currencies.

Fed vice-chairman Stanley Fischer said two more increases of US overnight interest rates this year seemed "about right" during a television interview.

Also lending support to the dollar was data on US consumer confidence that showed a reading at the highest level in more than 16 years.

The US dollar strengthened against most major currencies in midday trading after being flat to lower earlier in the day.

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It was last up 0.6 per cent against a basket of major currencies that measures its overall strength to 99.711, the strongest one-day percentage gain since March 1.

"Better consumer sentiment comes along with better consumption and spending, which is positive for the US growth outlook," said Sireen Harajli, currency strategist at Mizuho Corporate Bank in New York.

Additionally, Ms Harajli said, the US dollar "fell quite a bit yesterday after the healthcare repeal kind of fell apart (on Friday), so we might be seeing a little bit of a bounce back after Monday's lows."

Still, analysts say they are expecting the US dollar's long-term trajectory to turn lower as US President Donald Trump struggles to get his campaign agenda of tax cuts and infrastructure spending through Congress.

The euro and British pound fell to session lows against the greenback during afternoon trading as investors braced for the United Kingdom to trigger Article 50 of the European Union constitution on Wednesday, exiting the EU.

The euro fell 0.5 per cent against the US dollar to US$1.081. Sterling dipped 0.8 per cent to US$1.245.

The move lower also coincided with news that Scotland's parliament had backed a vote for independence but that the British government would not enter independence negotiations.

"The US fundamental picture hasn't really changed," said Alfonso Esparza, senior currency strategist at Oanda in Toronto.

"Political uncertainty is still higher than the market would like it in the states, but it's getting literally trumped by political risk from Brexit and further down the line the French elections."

The US dollar also rose 0.4 per cent against the yen and gained 0.7 per cent against the Swiss franc as safety buying unwound and the US dollar strengthened.

REUTERS

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