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Indonesia palm exports seen climbing most in 22 months on China
[JAKARTA] Palm oil exports from Indonesia, the world's largest producer, probably jumped the most in almost two years in August after China stepped up imports to meet rising demand during festivals.
Shipments climbed 20 per cent to 1.92 million metric tons last month from 1.596 million tons in July, according to the median of six estimates from analysts, refiners and plantation executives compiled by Bloomberg. That would be the steepest increase since October 2014, data from the Indonesian Palm Oil Association showed.
Futures in Kuala Lumpur are trading near a five-month high on speculation that rising demand ahead of the mid-Autumn festival in China and Diwali celebrations in India will draw down inventories in Indonesia and Malaysia, which together account for 86 per cent of the global supplies.
Malaysian inventories slumped to the lowest in more than five years in August and output may drop 10 per cent this year after El Nino cut yields in the first half.
"We've seen plenty of demand," said Derom Bangun, chairman of the Indonesian Palm Oil Board. "China is buying a lot ahead of moon cake festival," he said estimating August shipments at about 2 million tons.
Palm oil futures closed 0.6 per cent lower at 2,677 ringgit a ton on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives on Wednesday after reaching as high as 2,728 ringgit in intraday trading, the highest level since April 21. Prices are up 6 per cent this month after surging 9.1 per cent in August.
Palm oil production probably rose 1.4 per cent to 2.82 million tons in August from a month earlier, while inventories increased 1.1 per cent to 1.9 million tons, the survey showed.
The palm oil association, known as Gapki, may release August data later this month.
Return of rains over the northern region of the country helped increase production, while the southern areas remain dry, said Sahat Sinaga, executive director at the Indonesian Vegetable Oil Industry Association.