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Europe: Shares rally as Italian, French banks soar after Macron win

Tuesday, April 25, 2017 - 06:25

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[MILAN] European shares rallied, banks soared, and French blue-chips briefly hit a nine-year high on Monday after France's presidential election sparked a rush to risky assets.

Investors cheered the first-round result of France's presidential election, which saw centrist Emmanuel Macron take a big step towards leading his country. Polls now put him comfortably ahead of far-right leader Marine Le Pen in the May 7 run-off.

The outcome lessens the risk of an anti-establishment shock on the scale of Britain's vote to quit the European Union and bolsters the case for closer ties between France and Germany.

Europe's Stoxx 600 index closed 2.1 per cent higher, with France's CAC 40 up 4.1 per cent, posting its best day's gains since August 2012. Germany's DAX hit a new record high, up 3.4 per cent, while Britain's FTSE gained 2.1 per cent.

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Market voices on:

"The clear reason for this rally is that European markets have been held back by political risk over the last 12 months," said Tim Stevenson, European equities fund manager at Henderson.

Europe's main gauge of equity market anxiety, the Euro Stoxx 50 Volatility index fell 8.8 points, wiping out the rapid surge it made this month when investors grew cautious in the run up to the French vote.

The euro briefly vaulted to five-month peaks and French bond yields fell to multi-month lows, halving the French/German two-year bond spread.

Investors said they would start to concentrate on signs that European economies are improving.

"We decided early this morning to refocus our strategy on the very positive fundamentals in Europe, and to lift the protective overlays we had put in place on bond and stock futures," said Pascale Auclair, global head of investment at La Francaise Asset Management.

"Nonetheless, we will remain vigilant going into the (French) legislative elections."

If he wins the presidency, Mr Macron will need to secure a working parliamentary majority for his young party in June, and then seek broad popular support for labour reforms that are sure to meet resistance.

BANKS, INDUSTRIALS DRIVE RISK-ON RALLY

French and Italian banks saw the biggest gains across the region with the euro zone's bank index rising 7.4 per cent to its highest level in 16 months.

Paris blue chips hit their highest since January 2008, up 4.1 per cent.

The top eight gainers on the pan-European index were banks, with UniCredit, Credit Agricole and UBI Banca leading the way, up 13.2, 10.9 and 10.4 per cent respectively.

Brokers including Goldman Sachs, Citi and Kepler Cheuvreux all came out heavily in favour of European banks on Monday morning.

Italy, considered to be especially vulnerable to any anti-European event, had an even stronger rally than France. Its FTSE MIB soared 4.8 per cent to its highest since January 2016, driven by strong gains in banks which jumped 9.1 per cent.

Industrials were also in demand with shares in French construction companies Saint-Gobain and Vinci soaring 6.7 per cent and 7.1 per cent respectively, as investors turned their focus to their earning prospects.

Europe's construction and materials sector had its best daily gains since last November's US election, up 3.4 per cent.

"There was already a case for this sector before the election, but now we are looking beyond and back to fundamentals," said Vincent Juvyns, global market strategist at JP Morgan Asset Management.

The rush into risky assets weighed on precious metal miners Randgold Resources fell 1.4 per cent as prices of gold, seen as a safe haven asset, fell more than one per cent.

Next up on investors' radars will be the slew of results poised to kick off European earnings season this week including heavyweight banks UBS and Credit Suisse.

European first-quarter earnings are expected to rise 7.2 per cent, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S data. Excluding the energy sector, this would be a rise of 2.9 per cent.

Shares in Akzo Nobel gained 5.1 per cent after PPG Industries raised its offer to US$29 billion, increasing pressure on the Dutch paint maker to enter into acquisition talks.

REUTERS

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