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Yuan weakens on stronger US dollar, weaker midpoint fix
[SHANGHAI] China's yuan weakened on Friday, after the central bank set a sharply lower midpoint, following Thursday's strong fixing and as a stronger dollar weighed on Asian currencies.
The People's Bank of China set the midpoint rate at 6.6543 per US dollar prior to market open, 0.4 per cent weaker than the previous fix 6.6255.
The weaker fix is the sharpest move for the midpoint since June 27, when the central bank set it nearly one per cent weaker from the session before after Britain's surprise decision to leave the European Union.
On a two-day basis, however, the midpoint rate is nearly flat, due to Thursday's strong fix.
The spot market opened at 6.6400 per US dollar and was changing hands at 6.6444 at midday, 69 pips away from the last close and -0.15 per cent away from the midpoint. The spot rate is currently allowed to trade within a 2 per cent range above or below the official fixing on any given day.
The offshore yuan also weakened, while the one-year US dollar offshore yuan swap rose to 1,088.8 points. Offshore yuan swap points have dropped rapidly in recent weeks in what analysts say is likely a sign of easing yuan depreciation expectations and convergence with falling onshore rates.
"In theory, the drop of the swap points mean that the market is pricing in some sort of monetary easing from the Chinese authorities - China onshore rates are also dropping these days," wrote Zhou Hao, senior emerging market economist at Commerzbank in Singapore, in a note.
Frances Cheung, head of rates strategy asia ex-Japan at Societe Generale in Hong Kong, said offshore rates are no longer at extremely high levels.
"The tendency for convergence is driving offshore rates lower," Mr Cheung said.
The Thomson Reuters/HKEX Global CNH index, which tracks the offshore yuan against a basket of currencies on a daily basis, stood at 95.12, weaker than the previous day's 95.13.
The global US dollar index rose to 95.867 from the previous close of 95.857.
The offshore yuan was trading -0.09 per cent away from the onshore spot at 6.6507 per US dollar.
Offshore one-year non-deliverable forwards contracts (NDFs), considered the best available proxy for forward-looking market expectations of the yuan's value, traded at 6.7795, -1.85 per cent away from the midpoint.
One-year NDFs are settled against the midpoint, not the spot rate.