The Business Times

Gold flat but under pressure as US Treasury yields rise

Published Thu, Jan 18, 2018 · 11:02 PM
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[NEW YORK] Gold was flat in a narrow range on Thursday, first dipping as the dollar rose and then rising as the dollar moved lower, but bullion's gains were limited by higher US Treasury yields.

Financial market players were concerned about a possible US government shutdown, but this did not move gold very much.

Spot gold was unchanged at US$1,327.61 an ounce by 1.49pm EST (1849 GMT). Earlier in the session, it touched its lowest since Jan 12 at US$1,323.70.

US gold futures for February delivery settled down US$12, or 0.9 per cent, at US$1,327.20 per ounce.

In the previous session, spot gold fell 0.8 per cent, its biggest daily percentage decline since Dec 7 as the US dollar bounced from three-year lows.

"We've seen the relationship between dollar and gold hold pretty steady," said Chris Gaffney president of world markets at St Louis-based EverBank.

In early trade, the US dollar index fell on worries over a possible US government shutdown as global investors sought to diversify their holdings into other currencies. Shortly after, the greenback recovered some of the losses.

The 10-year US Treasury yield hit its highest since March 2017 at 2.61 per cent in European trade, pushing euro zone counterparts higher.

Gold is a non-yielding asset so rising yields on the bond market pressure its price.

"I think you'll also see yields rising with interest rates,"pressuring gold, added Mike O'Donnell, market strategist RJO Futures in Chicago.

Spot gold is expected to fall to US$1,311 per ounce, as it has broken a support at US$1,329, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Some analysts said gold could draw some support from the current correction in digital currencies.

"Brokers in Europe report investors have increasingly been asking about switching from cryptocurrencies into gold," ANZ analysts said in a research note.

Bitcoin fell as much as 20 per cent on Wednesday, dropping below US$10,000 due to investor fears that regulators could clamp down.

In other precious metals, silver gained 0.3 per cent at US$16.96 per ounce and palladium shed 1.2 per cent at US$1,101.99.

Platinum added 0.57 per cent at US$1,002.40 per ounce, after touching its highest since Sept 8 at US$1,007.60 in the previous session.

Over the past 15 years, platinum has largely moved higher in January and February due to seasonally weaker supply from top producer South Africa, Menke said.

"This seasonal rebound is playing out. And there is also some more room from short covering from the futures market."

REUTERS

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