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Oil posts weekly loss as jobs surge can't banish economic worry
[NEW YORK] Oil posted its first weekly loss since mid-June, as a forecast-topping US employment report wasn't enough to offset the economic worries dogging the market.
Futures in New York closed down 1.6 per cent for the week, despite eking out an increase Friday after the government said payrolls climbed by 224,000 in June. The ultimate fallout from the report was unclear as investors fretted that labor-market strength would decrease the odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut. The dollar surged, adding to pressure on commodities sold in the US currency.
German factory orders on Friday added to a spate of sluggish manufacturing data from around the globe. That overshadowed this week's decision by Opec and its allies to extend supply curbs and the seizure of a tanker carrying Iranian crude by British special forces on Thursday.
"From a demand standpoint, the question is will the Fed save the day" or "are we too far gone?" said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research in Florida. "What economic data begins to show in the next few weeks and months is going to be the most important thing to watch."
Oil slumped on Tuesday in its worst decline following a meeting by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) in four years. While the cartel is struggling to boost prices, its voluntary production limits are also leaving the door open for US shale producers to grab more market share, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. American crude output resumed gains last week.
West Texas Intermediate oil for August delivery gained 17 cents, or 0.3 per cent, on the day, closing at US$57.51 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. There was no settlement Thursday due to a holiday in the US, so all transactions were booked on Friday.
Brent for September rose 1.5 per cent to US$64.23 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe Exchange. It was down 3.5 per cent for the week.
Prices have also lost support from a tight physical crude market, which has pushed up global refining margins in the last few days after a lacklustre May and June.
"If the state of the economy does not improve, demand alone is not likely to be able to slice potentially growing inventories," Michael Poulsen, an analyst at Global Risk Management Ltd A/S, wrote in a report. "The Middle East tensions are also potentially bullish for oil prices and any new development in the area could spur fears of oil disruptions."