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Farmers pose a challenge to Jokowi in polls

Volatile prices for rural goods have rocked the livelihoods of some 36 million Indonesian farm workers


TALAM, a farmer struggling to stay afloat growing shallots on the island of Java, embodies a niggling challenge for Indonesia's President Joko Widodo's bid for a second term in office.

Volatile prices for rural goods from palm oil to rubber in recent years have rocked the livelihoods of some 36 million Indonesian farm workers, representing one in five voters in the April 17 presidential and legislative elections. Mr Talam, who goes by only one name, said he blames Widodo, known locally as Jokowi.

While Indonesia isn't immune to fluctuations in global commodity prices, Mr Jokowi's only rival Prabowo Subianto is drawing supporters with a campaign critical of the incumbent's use of food imports to cool inflation that he contends are linked to worse farm profits. Most independent pollsters predict Mr Jokowi will win. Still, the former governor of Jakarta's margin is narrowing, with a survey by Kompas newspaper last month finding support for Mr Jokowi dropped to 49.2 per cent a month ago from 52.6 per cent in October.

"I used to support Jokowi," Mr Talam said, laying shallots to dry in front of his house in Tegal Gelaga, a village in Central Java. The 55-year-old switched allegiances after he was forced to sell his car and an oil-palm plantation to repay debts that mounted following a downturn in palm-fruit prices, he said.

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"The life of farmers is hard since Jokowi came to power. Costs are high, while prices keep falling." Both Mr Jokowi and Mr Subianto, a former army general and son-in-law of dictator Suharto, are trying to lure rural voters - long seen as a key voting bloc in Indonesian elections, said Assyifa Szami Ilman, a researcher at the Center for Indonesian Policy Studies, in Jakarta. The appeal of either candidate to farmers will come down to their breadth and depth of engagement, he said.

Low crop prices and high costs of pesticides, fertilisers and seeds are the main concerns of 31 farmers Bloomberg interviewed last month during a 946-kilometre road trip that crisscrossed Central and Western Java.

Besides Mr Talam, six farmers said they favoured Subianto, widely known as Mr Prabowo. Ten said they would vote for Jokowi, and the others were yet to decide. Some surveys have estimated about 10 per cent of about 193 million voters are undecided.

While Mr Jokowi has centred his campaign on his government's achievements, Mr Prabowo has accused the president of failing to protect farm interests. He's also vowed to tackle economic inequalities in the world's fourth-most populous country and to "seek a better deal" in trade with China.

Mr Jokowi has pledged to build dams to irrigate more farmland, and to boost rice, soybean and sugar stockpiles - a policy that Mr Prabowo blames for depressing the price of locally produced crops.

Mr Jokowi defended his administration's purchases, saying they were necessary to ensure price stability. Inflation eased to 2.48 per cent last month, the slowest pace of price growth since 2009. Indonesia has emerged as one of the world's top importers of wheat and sugar in recent years even as it has achieved some success in trimming shipments of staples such as corn through higher local production.

"Whoever wins the election, the president must pay more attention to us farmers," said Uang, a 75-year-old rice-grower from Karya Mukti, a village in West Java. BLOOMBERG

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