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Malaysia's policy rate seen steady as growth expected to improve
[KUALA LUMPUR] Malaysia's central bank will likely hold its overnight policy rate at 3.25 per cent on Thursday, on expectations that economic growth will improve in the coming quarters, a Reuters poll showed.
All 11 economists in the poll forecast that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) will maintain its rate, even though the country's first quarter growth was the slowest in almost seven years.
"If you remove the impact of El Nino on the agriculture sector's contraction, GDP growth has been quite solid and private consumption looks to be recovering from the effects of GST (goods and services tax)," said Nomura analyst Brian Tan.
BNM has kept its overnight rate unchanged since July 2014.
The central bank is also expected to maintain the statutory reserve requirement ratio (SRR), which it cut in January to 3.5 per cent from 4.0 per cent to boost liquidity.
Malaysia's economy grew 4.2 per cent in the first quarter from a year earlier, down from 4.5 per cent in the previous quarter.
In January, the government revised its 2016 growth projection to 4.0-4.5 per cent from the initial 4.0-5.0 per cent, on expectations of a sustained slump in global crude prices.
Inflationary pressure is also cooling with the annual consumer price index in March up 2.6 per cent, sharply down from February's 4.2 per cent.
Last year, Southeast Asia's third-largest economy was hit by weak global prices for its energy and commodity exports and by the fall of the ringgit to 17-year lows.