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US manufacturing struggling as orders, shipments fall in April

Washington

NEW orders for US-made goods fell in April and shipments dropped by the most in two years, indicating continued weakness in manufacturing activity that could undercut the broader economy.

Factory goods orders declined 0.8 per cent, pulled down by soft demand for transportation equipment, computers and electronic orders, and primary metals, the Commerce Department said on Tuesday. Data for March was revised down to show factory orders increasing 1.3 per cent instead of surging 1.9 per cent as previously reported.

Factory orders rose 1.6 per cent compared to April 2018. Manufacturing, which accounts for about 12 per cent of the economy, is being squeezed by businesses placing fewer orders while working off stockpiles of unsold goods in warehouses.

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The inventory bloat is concentrated in the automotive sector, which is experiencing weaker sales. Inventories at factories rose 0.3 per cent. The stock of unsold goods has increased in seven of the last eight months.

Shipments of manufactured goods fell 0.5 per cent in April, the largest drop since April 2017, after rising 0.2 per cent in March. The inventories-to-shipments ratio increased to 1.37 from 1.36 in March.

Boeing's move to cut production of its troubled 737 MAX aircraft is also hurting manufacturing.

The sector could see more disruptions to the supply chain after President Donald Trump announced last week that he would impose a tariff on all goods from Mexico in a bid to stem the tide of illegal immigration across the US-Mexican border, starting at 5 per cent on June 10.

The United States is already waging a trade war with China.

The weak factory orders data was flagged by a report last month showing a drop in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods in April, as well as a drop in manufacturing production.

A survey on Monday showed a measure of national factory activity dropped to a 31-month low in May, with manufacturers expressing concern over the US-China trade tensions. Pointing to further weakness in manufacturing activity, unfilled orders at factories slipped 0.1 per cent in April, reversing March's 0.1 per cent rise.

The data joined moderate consumer spending as well as weak home sales and construction outlays in April in suggesting that economic growth was slowing sharply after a temporary boost from trade inventories and defence spending in the first quarter.

The Atlanta Federal Reserve is forecasting GDP rising at a 1.3 per cent annualised rate in the second quarter. The economy grew at a 3.1 per cent rate in the January-March period.

Some economists believe the raft of weak data could force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year. The US central bank early this year suspended its three-year rate hiking campaign.

Orders for computers and electronic products fell 0.5 per cent, while those for primary metals dropped 1.1 per cent. Machinery orders rose 0.3 per cent after dropping 2 per cent in March. Orders for electrical equipment, appliances and components increased 0.9 per cent.

The Commerce Department also said April orders for non-defence capital goods excluding aircraft, which are seen as a measure of business spending plans on equipment, declined one per cent instead of the 0.9 per cent drop reported last month. REUTERS