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THE BOTTOM LINE

US policy predictions involve serious stakes

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Imagine yourself as a regular commentator on public affairs - maybe a paid pundit, maybe a supposed expert in some area, maybe just an opinionated billionaire.

IMAGINE yourself as a regular commentator on public affairs - maybe a paid pundit, maybe a supposed expert in some area, maybe just an opinionated billionaire. You weigh in on a major policy initiative that's about to happen, making strong predictions of disaster. The Obama stimulus, you declare...

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