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Analysts expect bull run to continue this week

Fed's minutes indicate that a rate hike in June is likely but that a sharp increase in Treasury rates is far less likely

Published Sun, May 28, 2017 · 09:50 PM
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US stocks rose to new records last week and most analysts expect the run to continue if economic data this week is strong - but not too strong.

The Federal Reserve's minutes were a case of "steady as she goes", indicating that a rate hike in June is likely but that a sharp increase in Treasury rates is far less likely. That drove the US dollar to its lows of the year against some currencies, a positive if you are a large US corporation. This week, the US dollar could well rebound, leaving stock bulls in something of a quandary, if jobs data is strong enough to warrant a more aggressive position from the central bank.

There's something of a debate as to whether the "reflation trade" - the purchase of economically sensitive sectors as a play on President Donald Trump's pro-growth policies and perceived economic strength - is working or not, now that the Trump agenda has stalled. Last week, the industrial sector received a shot in the arm from a multibillion-dollar arms deal brokered by Mr Trump with Saudi Arabia. Still, as has been the case for weeks, more counter-cyclical sectors such as utilities, telecommunications and healthcare have been among the leaders, just as they were in the latter, slow-growth days of Barack Obama's presidency. Can stocks cont…

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