You are here

Covid-19: Three scenarios, growth and policy implications for Asia ex-Japan

The three scenarios are based on when Covid-19 peaks and how quickly production activity can resume in China.

BT_20200226_MORGAN26_4044574.jpg
China's factory activity picks up gradually amid coronavirus outbreak.

THE potential macroeconomic impact of the Covid-19 outbreak is now being debated in terms of a temporary interruption to Asia ex-Japan's nascent growth recovery versus derailment of such growth - as determined by the severity and duration of the episode.

The bullish argument is that a...