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Covid-19: Three scenarios, growth and policy implications for Asia ex-Japan

The three scenarios are based on when Covid-19 peaks and how quickly production activity can resume in China.

China's factory activity picks up gradually amid coronavirus outbreak.

THE potential macroeconomic impact of the Covid-19 outbreak is now being debated in terms of a temporary interruption to Asia ex-Japan's nascent growth recovery versus derailment of such growth - as determined by the severity and duration of the episode.

The bullish argument is that a...