Nike faces risks from consumer squeeze, China: Jefferies

Published Mon, Sep 25, 2023 · 07:37 PM

Nike faces a risk from slower spending by US students, in addition to ongoing Chinese headwinds, said Jefferies analysts.

Pointing to a recent in-house survey, analyst Randal Konik noted that nearly 90 per cent of the 600 respondents with outstanding student loan debt were somewhat worried about being able to meet all their monthly expenses.

“Apparel, footwear, accessories, restaurants, and big-ticket items are likely to see the biggest pullbacks in spending,” he wrote in a research report, downgrading his ratings on Nike, Foot Locker and Urban Outfitters to “hold” from “buy”.

The return of student loan payments in October is seen squeezing consumers in the US, with a report by Oxford Economics estimating that this could dent spending by as much as US$9 billion each month. Nike shares have fallen 11 per cent this month alone.

Konik warned that China is another headwind as sales trends in the region are likely to be choppy.

Separately, Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson also warned that consumer stocks, one of the brightest corners of the market this year, are about to lose their shine as risks build for the sector. Bloomberg

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