The Business Times

Gold falls most in 3 weeks as stocks rise, growth concerns ease

Published Tue, Jul 12, 2016 · 10:33 PM

[NEW YORK] Gold headed for the biggest decline in three weeks as stock markets climbed on speculation that policy makers will act to spur growth, easing concerns on the global economy after the UK's vote to leave the European Union.

Global equities erased losses sparked by the Brexit vote. The pound rose the most since the referendum as Theresa May prepared to take over as the UK's next prime minister, while Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe vowed to speed up efforts to defeat deflation. A gauge of US small-business optimism rose for a third straight month in June.

Gold has gained this year as signs of a shaky global economy spurred demand for haven assets. Rallying equities and signals from central bankers may be helping stem those worries.

St Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said Tuesday that while he expects the US economy to remain stuck in low-growth mode for two to three years, there was no reason to forecast a recession.

"Everybody's going to keep looking at record stock market highs," George Gero, a managing director at RBC Wealth Management in New York, said in a telephone interview. "All of this is a recipe for a pullback for gold."

Gold futures for August delivery slid 0.9 per cent to US$1,344.90 an ounce at 11:06 am on the Comex in New York. A close at that price would mark the biggest decline since June 21. The metal headed for a fourth straight decline, the longest stretch in two weeks.

Bullion will remain supported by low interest rates and a weaker dollar, Tetsu Emori, president of Emori Capital Management Inc, said Tuesday. Traders see 31 per cent odds that the Fed will raise US interest rates by December. Higher rates curb the appeal of precious metals, which don't offer yields.

"The markets seem to be relatively risk-on," Mr Emori said. "In that sense, the money should be coming out from the gold market to the equity market."

Silver futures for September delivery gained 0.5 per cent to US$20.405 an ounce on the Comex.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, platinum dropped and palladium rose.

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