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Gold falls on Greek uncertainty, US data eyed

Thursday, February 5, 2015 - 21:17

[LONDON] Gold fell on Thursday as uncertainty in Greece after the European Central Bank said it would no longer accept Greek bonds in return for funding left investors on the sidelines.

The ECB's announcement dealt a blow to Athens which is seeking debt relief from eurozone lenders, knocking the euro down against the dollar in early trade.

Spot gold fell 0.6 per cent to US$1,262.10 an ounce by 1256 GMT, while US gold futures for April delivery were down 0.2 per cent at US$1,262.50 an ounce.

Bullion failed to capitalise on a fall in European equities and was trading in a US$10 an ounce range ahead of Friday's US employment data.

The metal dipped despite the euro staging a modest rebound against the dollar after positive German data, which however kept it well below a two-week peak hit on Tuesday.

"It is unusual to see gold and the dollar move in the same direction but ... for the market to really care about what is happening in the eurozone we need to be closer to an exit of Greece than we have been in the past," Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke said.

"You need to have a pretty dire assessment of the future and see the situation in the eurozone deteriorate to attract back those long-term investors who have exited gold in the past two years."

China's move on Wednesday to cut the reserve requirement for banks in an effort to add more liquidity to fight off an economic slowdown and looming deflation could however support demand for gold in the short term.

The metal has in the past benefited during periods of ultra-low interest rates and further monetary easing, which encourage investors to put money into non-interest-bearing assets.

But while major economies such as China and Europe continue to pump more money into their systems, the United States is moving towards a tightening cycle.

And investors will watch the US non-farm payrolls for more clues on when US interest rates would rise this year, the first hike in nearly a decade. A Reuters poll of analysts had forecast a 230,000 increase in US jobs in January, slowing slightly from 252,000 in December but still robust.

"The entire notion right now is for the US to continue improving at least from the labour front," said Barnabas Gan, analyst at OCBC Bank. "Higher interest rates and a firmer dollar really are strong drivers to depress gold prices this year," said Mr Gan, who sees bullion at US$1,000 by year-end.

Spot silver fell 1.2 per cent to US$17.14 an ounce. Platinum was down 0.1 per cent at US$1,236.65 an ounce and palladium lost 0.3 per cent to US$786.50 an ounce.

REUTERS

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