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Gold heading for worst week since Dec on rate hike worries

Friday, March 3, 2017 - 11:53

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Gold edged down on Friday after falling more than one per cent in the previous session, and was on track for its first weekly decline since late January on expectations of a US rate hike in March.

[BENGALURU] Gold edged down on Friday after falling more than one per cent in the previous session, and was on track for its first weekly decline since late January on expectations of a US rate hike in March.

Spot gold dropped 0.2 per cent to US$1,232.81 per ounce at 0309 GMT. The metal had its worst session since Dec 15 on Thursday, when it fell 1.1 per cent to touch a more than one-week low at US$1,230.58.

US gold futures rose 0.2 per cent to US$1,234.90.

Increasing chances of a rate hike should keep a lid on any gold rallies leading into the March meeting, MKS PAMP Group trader Sam Laughlin said.

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Market voices on:

"With (US Federal Reserve) President Janet Yellen on the wires tonight, we look to see further weakness across the precious complex should she, as expected, promote the potential for an interest rate increase in March," Laughlin said.

"Initial support for gold sits around US$1,230, while below this we look to the 100 day moving average at US$1,210." Ms Yellen and Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer are both due to speak later on Friday.

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to near a 44-year low last week, pointing to further tightening of the labor market even as economic growth appears to have remained moderate in the first quarter.

A surge in business and consumer confidence during President Donald Trump's first weeks in office has helped push the Fed toward its first sustained series of interest rate hikes in more than a decade, despite a dearth of firm policies from the administration.

Spot gold may temporarily hover above a support at US$1,232 per ounce and then bounce towards a resistance at US$1,241 before falling again, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

A correction in gold, however, is likely to be shallow as investors remained friendly to bullion as a hedge against global uncertainty and rising inflation, analysts said.

ABN Amro lifted its year-end 2017 gold price forecast by US$200 to US$1,300 on Thursday and said prices would likely consolidate until turning higher later in the year.

Commerzbank said any setbacks to prices should be limited and short-lived due to uncertainty over Mr Trump's policies and European elections. The bank revised its first half 2017 gold price forecast upwards to US$1,250 per ounce while confirming its year-end forecast at US$1,300 per ounce.

Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.21 per cent to 845.32 tonnes on Thursday from Wednesday.

Spot silver held firm at US$17.78, after falling 3.5 per cent to hit a 3-week low of US$17.64 on Thursday. The metal had its worst one-day fall since Dec 15. It is on track to end the week down 3 per cent, its worst since December.

Platinum was steady at US$986.40, after it fell 3 per cent in the previous session to hit one-month lows of US$978.75.

Palladium rose 0.1 per cent to US$768.

REUTERS

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