Gold steady below 13-month high as upbeat US jobs support Fed hike

[MANILA] Gold steadied below last week's 13-month high on Monday, its recent rally doused by robust US employment data that underpinned expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates this year.

But the Fed is unlikely to lift rates as soon as next week during its policy meeting, providing some support to non-interest bearing gold.

Spot gold was up 0.2 per cent at US$1,262.05 an ounce by 0646 GMT. The metal peaked at US$1,279.60 on Friday, its strongest since Feb. 3, 2015, but then slipped on data showing that US nonfarm payrolls rose by a forecast-beating 242,000 last month.

The data also showed that 30,000 more jobs were added in December and January than previously reported, helping ease fears the US economy was heading into recession and refocusing attention on the case for future rate hikes.

"Despite the very strong nonfarm, it seems that the expectations for a March hike are still fairly low," said OCBC Bank analyst Barnabas Gan, and the scenario of the Fed staying put at its March 15-16 meeting was "supporting gold at this juncture."

But Mr Gan said he remains bearish on gold prices, predicting they will be at around US$1,000 to $1,150 by year-end, with the Fed likely to raise interest rates at least once this year.

The Fed raised US interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade in December amid signs of strength in the world's top economy.

US gold for April delivery dropped 0.6 per cent to US$1,263.70.

HSBC analyst James Steel believes the rally in gold remains largely intact with the metal not falling sharply despite the strong US jobs data.

"But at these high prices restrained physical demand may begin to temper the rally and we could be in for some profit taking or liquidation," Mr Steel wrote in a note.

Hedge funds and money managers reduced their bullish bets in COMEX gold in the week to March 1 for the first time since switching to a net long stance in mid-January, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday.

Spot silver was up 0.5 per cent at 15.57 an ounce, palladium slipped 0.6 per cent to US$552.22 and platinum gained 0.5 per cent to 983.98.

REUTERS