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Oil prices revive rally on US jobs data, technical charts

Saturday, March 5, 2016 - 06:57

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Oil jumped on Friday, settling 4 per cent higher as strong US jobs data and technical factors encouraged buying that revived this week's rally after a one-day pause.

[NEW YORK] Oil jumped on Friday, settling 4 per cent higher as strong US jobs data and technical factors encouraged buying that revived this week's rally after a one-day pause.

Prices also got a boost when industry firm Baker Hughes posted data showing the US oil rig count down eight this week for an 11th straight week of declines.

Brent futures, the global benchmark for crude, settled up US$1.65, or 4.5 per cent, at US$38.72 a barrel.

US crude's West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures closed up US$1.35, or 3.9 per cent, at US$35.92.

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Both crude benchmarks were up about 10 per cent for the week, with Brent up a second straight week and WTI a third straight.

Oil rose after data from the Labor Department showed a surge in US jobs growth for February. The rally intensified after WTI breached $35 technical resistance.

"I think there is a lot of money flow going on in oil and net buying from different parts of the financial world is driving prices higher," Scott Shelton, broker with ICAP in Durham, North Carolina said, citing WTI's lock-step trade of late with US equities. "Near term physical markets are actually pretty firm, so I don't think there are sellers here for now on the oil side," Mr Shelton said.

Crude prices have spiked nearly 40 per cent from 12-year lows hit less than two months ago, rallying after global oil producers began talking three weeks ago of a plan to freeze output at January's highs.

Charts for Brent and WTI show a Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 60, heading toward the overbought level of 70.

In mid-2014, a growing supply glut knocked oil off its perch above US$100 a barrel. The current rally, coming after Brent fell to 2003 lows of around US$27 and WTI near US$26, has persisted amid record high US crude stockpiles. "Despite bearish inventory data, the market is looking for green shoots and reasons to head higher," said Michael Tran, director of energy strategy at RBC Capital Markets in New York.

US crude inventories rose last week to a record high of 517.98 million barrels even as output fell for a sixth straight week, the US Energy Information Administration said.

"We have seen another 12 million barrels arrive in the Gulf of Mexico this week from the Arab Gulf, and another 11.4 million from Central and Latin America," said Matthew Smith, who tracks crude cargoes for New York-based Clipper Data. "All these while we continue to see a backlog of cargoes in the Gulf of Mexico, more than double volumes we usually see."

REUTERS

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