The Business Times

Oil prices stable, supported as output cuts hit market

Published Tue, Dec 13, 2016 · 05:30 AM

[SINGAPORE] Oil prices were stable on Tuesday, buoyed by soaring demand in Asia and as signs of a crude production cut organised by Opec and other exporters materialised, tightening a market that has been grappling with years of oversupply.

International Brent crude was trading at US$55.67 per barrel at 0430 GMT, virtually unchanged from its last settlement.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was down 10 US cents at US$52.73 a barrel, with US producers not participating in production cuts.

Traders said there was some profit-taking after oil shot to mid-2015 highs earlier this week after the Middle East-led Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) and other exporters led by Russia reached a deal to cut output by almost 1.8 million barrels per day to reduce oversupply and prop up prices.

But they added that oil markets were still broadly supported by the deal to crimp output.

"The market is putting a lot of importance on the commentaries coming out of Opec and non-Opec (and) the market is giving Opec the benefit of the doubt that cuts will be implemented and achieved," said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at Sydney's CMC Markets.

However, he added that prices would "turn negative very quickly if the market feels compliance won't happen".

BMI Research said that the agreement would likely push Brent over US$60 per barrel.

In a sign that producers are acting on their plans, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) told customers it would cut supplies by 3-5 per cent.

The producer from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) will reduce Murban and Upper Zakum crude supplies by 5 per cent and Das crude exports by 3 per cent.

Adnoc's cuts will mostly hit Asia, although refiners said they fell within contractual allowances under which Adnoc can alter agreed supply volumes.

Meanwhile, China's November crude output fell 9 per cent on a year earlier to 3.915 million barrels per day, data showed on Tuesday, but recovered from October's 3.78 million bpd, which was the lowest in more than seven years.

That came as China's refinery throughput hit a daily record in November of 11.14 million bpd, up 3.4 per cent year-on-year.

"Declines in Chinese ... crude oil output and expansion of its strategic crude reserves underpin our view for China's crude oil imports to strengthen over the coming quarters," said BMI Research.

In India, Asia's No 2 oil consumer behind China, fuel demand rose 12.1 per cent in November compared with the same month last year, hitting 16.64 million tonnes (4.07 million bpd).

REUTERS

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