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Saudis reportedly doubt oil output deal, and prices tumble

Saturday, September 24, 2016 - 07:34
39955260 - 23_09_2016 - ASIA-OIL_USA-EXPORTS.jpg
Oil prices fell sharply late Friday, wiping out much of the week's gains, after reports that Saudi Arabia is downplaying prospects of a producers deal on output next week.

[London] Oil prices fell sharply late Friday, wiping out much of the week's gains, after reports that Saudi Arabia is downplaying prospects of a producers deal on output next week.

The key benchmarks Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) both lost more than 3 percent in Friday's trading, as earlier hopes faded for the informal meeting of Opec producers and Russia in Algiers.

The losses came after Bloomberg reported that an Opec delegate "familiar with Saudi Arabian policy" said Riyadh did not expect any deal to limit output.

Earlier, the market had been encouraged by another unconfirmed report that the Saudis were talking with Iran about a mutual deal to freeze production.

For the day, US benchmark West Texas Intermediate for delivery in November lost US$1.84 to US$44.48 a barrel in New York trade.

In London, Brent North Sea crude for November delivery shed US$1.76 to US$45.89 a barrel.

"I think the biggest factor is here that the market does not believe at this point that there could be some sort of agreement surrounding the production freeze by Opec producers," said Bart Melek at TD Securities.

Russia and members of the Opec oil cartel led by Saudi Arabia will attend the International Energy Forum in Algiers beginning Monday, with informal talks on countering the market glut planned for the sidelines of the three-day event.

Traders are uncertain that a deal can be reached on maintaining, much less cutting, current output levels.

Reports that Saudi Arabia, Iran and Qatar met at the Opec headquarters in Vienna had fueled optimism.

An earlier Saudi-led attempt to freeze output fell apart in April after Iran refused to participate, saying it needed to raise production depleted by years of Western economic sanctions, which were lifted only in January.

"A deal to freeze production should give oil prices a significant boost, while if there is no deal, then expect to see a big drop, at least in the short-term," said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at Forex.com.

For the week, Brent prices were slightly higher, up 0.3 per cent from September 16, while WTI rose 3.4 per cent.

Support came from data showing US commercial inventories fell more than six million barrels last week, suggesting stronger demand in the world's top oil-consuming country.

Libya and Nigeria continued to struggle to raise production.

Libya's effort to sharply boost exports was placed in doubt after fighters loyal to the UN-backed unity government were repelled in their attempt to retake control of eastern oil ports from rival forces.

In Nigeria, a militant group on Monday claimed an attack on a crude oil pipeline in southern Delta state, the second on the same line in less than a week.

Oil prices remain far below the peaks of more than US$100 a barrel in mid-2014.

AFP