Merkel's problem: Booming German economy is so 20th century

Published Wed, Sep 20, 2017 · 03:47 AM

[BERLIN] Germany's steady economy is a boon for Chancellor Angela Merkel as she seeks a fourth term on Sunday.

Even the diesel-vehicle emissions scandal is barely denting national pride in German high-end manufacturing.

Yet a closer look reveals a backlog in 21st-century benchmarks such as broadband and education, pointing to costly catch-up efforts facing the next government.

Buoyed by a labour-market overhaul whose difficult implementation helped bring down her predecessor, Gerhard Schroeder, Ms Merkel is presiding over the lowest jobless rate since East and West Germany reunified 27 years ago.

It's a testament to the global market strength of German companies, which depend on the free trade that Ms Merkel has pledged to defend as countries including the US flirt with protectionism.

Germany's "social-market economy" features national health care, a minimum four weeks of annual vacation and high taxes.

Its workers also are among the world's most productive, beating France and rivaling the US Education, including vocational training, and the large number of closely held Mittelstand-small and midsize-companies are prime reasons.

Germany's lead isn't just in industry. Renewables got a boost when Ms Merkel decided to step up government promotion of wind and solar generation after legislating the phaseout of nuclear power in the wake of the 2011 Fukushima reactor disaster.

While her policy was attuned to the public mood, the surcharges to fund it have given Germany some of the world's highest power prices.

Meanwhile, other G-7 nations are narrowing the gap on renewable energy.

The prospect of a shrinking population and the potential hit on economic growth is a challenge and a talking point for politicians from Ms Merkel to the anti-immigration Alternative for Germany party, which wants ethnic Germans to have more children.

Studies predict a growing population gap with France and the UK, even though some 1.3 million refugees came to Germany in 2015 and 2016.

MBA culture has been slow to take hold in Germany and its business schools aren't highly ranked globally.

There's some growth in private business schools, but it's driven in part by foreign students. Paying for a business degree is still a hard sell in a country accustomed to free higher education and where asset managers are denounced as "sharks of finance" even by pro-market politicians.

Ms Merkel's fiscal priority during her latest term was balancing the federal budget, prompting criticism that Germany is jeopardising the future by neglecting public investment in everything from school bathrooms to defence.

Even Germany's BDI industry federation says the government should spend more at home and take international complaints about Germany's trade surplus seriously.

German parties are jostling to promise business and ordinary citizens a better digital future, including a pledge of "broadband for all" by the Social Democrats, Ms Merkel's main opponent. What's less clear is how much money is available to spur fiberoptic networks, where Germany ranks last in the G-7.

BLOOMBERG

BT is now on Telegram!

For daily updates on weekdays and specially selected content for the weekend. Subscribe to  t.me/BizTimes

International

SUPPORT SOUTH-EAST ASIA'S LEADING FINANCIAL DAILY

Get the latest coverage and full access to all BT premium content.

SUBSCRIBE NOW

Browse corporate subscription here