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Undervalued Singapore stocks see investors eyeing buyout premium

Tuesday, February 7, 2017 - 07:22

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[SINGAPORE] With more than half of Singapore equities trading below their net worth, some investors are chasing profits by buying shares in companies that may be bought out or delisted by controlling shareholders or takeover firms.

"Investors are looking for takeover candidates because prices have come off significantly," said Justin Tang, a director of global special situations at Religare Capital Markets in Singapore.

"We may see an increase in delistings and takeovers this year because of this."

Global Logistic Properties Ltd, a warehouse operator, is among companies targeted for takeover by firms including Blackstone Group LP, Warburg Pincus and Hopu Investment Management, according to people with knowledge of the matter. GLP shares have risen 53 per cent since November amid reports the company may be acquired.

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Property and oil and gas-related companies offer good value for potential buyout or takeover premiums, said Christopher Wong, a Singapore-based fund manager at Aberdeen Asset Management Asia Ltd.

Aberdeen funds hold shares in Wheelock Properties Singapore Ltd, which trades at 0.68 of its book value and has founding investors controlling about 76 per cent of the shares.

"If stocks continue to be in the doldrums, then the probability of them being privatised is higher," Mr Wong said.

Wheelock, Mermaid Maritime Pcl and Dyna-Mac Holdings Ltd are among potential buyout candidates trading below book value, said Carmen Lee, head of research at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp.

"Inexpensive" valuations mean companies or individuals with cash are likely to consider taking over or delisting some undervalued stocks this year, she said.

All three companies are controlled by no more than three shareholders, are profitable at earnings before interest, tax and depreciation and amortisation level, and have a debt-to-equity ratio of less than 50 per cent, according to Bloomberg data.

Not all investors are prepared to take the risk of investing in potential targets of buyouts that may not eventuate.

"It's very difficult to pre-empt when the delisting may happen or if it will happen at all unless there's information leaks, and that's very risky" said David Gerald, president of the Securities Investors Association of Singapore, an industry group representing shareholders.

Investors who held stakes in 20 companies including SMRT Corp, Osim International and HTL International Holdings Ltd that were bought out last year got a one-year median return of 23 per cent on their bets before trading was halted, more than that of the Straits Times Index. 

The gauge is second cheapest among major peers in Asia after South Korea, based on its price-to-book value of 1.19, after ending last year little changed and falling 14 percent the year earlier.

"You've got to be patient and buy cheap and hopefully some of these companies will be privatised," said Mr Wong.

"Clearly there are opportunities."

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