The Business Times

World shares climb after jobs report cools inflation fears

Published Fri, Mar 9, 2018 · 10:30 PM
Share this article.

[LONDON] World shares hit their highest in over a week on Friday as a slowdown in wage gains in the United States helped cool fears about faster inflation and interest rate hikes this year.

The MSCI All-Country World index, which tracks shares in 47 countries was up 0.7 per cent on the day and 2 per cent for the week, having also been buoyed by news Donald Trump and North Korea's Kim Jong Un planned to meet by May.

Nonfarm payrolls jumped by 313,000 jobs last month, data from the US Labor Department showed, recording their biggest increase in more than 1-1/2 years.

But average hourly earnings edged up only four cents, or 0.1 per cent, to US$26.75 which was a slowdown from the 0.3 per cent rise in January. That also lowered the year-on-year increase in average hourly earnings to 2.6 per cent from 2.8 per cent in January.

US stocks gained after the data, with both the benchmark S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average each up one per cent.

"The great news is the labor participation rate went up, the headline numbers are great, and the average hourly earnings has settled back down into consensus," said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Wunderlich Securities in New York.

"It's a great report across the board and I think that moves markets higher."

Upbeat jobs data last month, particularly a stronger than expected rise in wages, fanned speculation about faster interest rate rises in the United States, causing a rout in the bond market and hammering world equities.

The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates at least three times this year, with some analysts even expecting four.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index jumped to a session high. It was last up 0.5 per cent, and Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.3 per cent to a session high.

Shares in Asia, which staged sharp rallies after US President Donald Trump said he was prepared to meet North Korea's Kim Jong Un, potentially marking a major breakthrough in nuclear tensions between the two countries.

Japan's Nikkei rose 0.5 per cent and South Korean stocks gained more than one per cent.

YEN DIVES

In currencies, the Japanese yen was the biggest mover, falling more than half a per cent against the US dollar to its lowest in over a week following the news on North Korea.

The drop was partly a anti safe-haven move but also followed a Bank of Japan meeting where it kept monetary policy unchanged and gave no hint of ending its massive stimulus drive. The yen has gained 7 per cent against the US dollar since the start of the year on concerns that the outbreak of a trade war would derail a global growth recovery.

"We are trying to find a bottom on dollar/yen and the other thing to watch for is when the typical year-end repatriation flows that are made by Japanese institutions for the fiscal year end abates, and that might push dollar/yen even higher," said Kenneth Broux, a currency strategist at Societe Generale.

Despite its 0.6 per cent individual gain on the yen, the US dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was down 0.1 per cent due to weakness against the Canadian dollar, the pound to a lesser extent the euro.

Crude oil futures rose. US crude rose 1.75 per cent to US$61.18 per barrel, and Brent crude futures rose 1.7 per cent to US$64.70 per barrel.

Spot gold eased 0.1 per cent to US$1,320.16 per ounce, extending losses into a third session as demand for safe havens lessened.

REUTERS

BT is now on Telegram!

For daily updates on weekdays and specially selected content for the weekend. Subscribe to  t.me/BizTimes

Capital Markets & Currencies

SUPPORT SOUTH-EAST ASIA'S LEADING FINANCIAL DAILY

Get the latest coverage and full access to all BT premium content.

SUBSCRIBE NOW

Browse corporate subscription here