The Business Times

Truck maker Volvo rides demand boom but supply chain under pressure

Published Tue, Apr 24, 2018 · 07:23 AM

[STOCKHOLM] Truck maker Volvo beat first-quarter expectations with strong demand for trucks and construction equipment across most markets but cautioned that its supply chain was coming under pressure.

Sweden's Volvo and German competitors Daimler and Volkswagen are enjoying brisk business as fleet buyers step up purchases during what many analysts expect to be the peak year of the current demand cycle.

The first major European major truck maker to report on the quarter, Volvo raised its guidance for the North American and Indian heavy-duty truck market as well as for construction equipment in nearly all markets.

Operating profit at the group, which makes trucks, construction equipment, buses and engines, rose to 8.30 billion Swedish crowns (S$1.3 billion) from 6.83 billion crowns and topped the 8.17 billion crowns expected by analysts in a Reuters poll.

"The operating profit is better than expected, but if you look for weaknesses the margin is below forecast," Handelsbanken Capital Markets analyst Hampus Engellau said.

"This should be weighed against an extremely strong order intake, and they also raised their outlook for trucks in North America, and for all construction gear markets save Europe."

Bolstered by a completed 10 billion crown cost-cutting scheme, Volvo has seen its profitability and share price climb over the past year, raising market expectations.

Its operating margin rose to 9.3 per cent from 8.9 per cent, but fell shy of the 9.5 per cent seen by analysts as costs to cope with a stretched supply chain dented profitability in its trucks business.

"Looking ahead, the strong order intake means that the supply chain constraints and associated higher costs will remain in the near-term," chief executive Martin Lundstedt said in a statement.

A spokesman declined to specify which components were affected by supply chain bottlenecks.

The Gothenburg-based manufacturer said order intake of trucks, which sells under brands Volvo, Mack, Renault and UD Trucks, grew 29 per cent, beating the 21 per cent rise seen by analysts.

While the demand outlook could hardly be rosier, Volvo's future ownership and strategy is in greater doubt.

Chinese carmaker Geely's purchase of shares in Daimler and a yet-to-be closed deal for a stake in AB Volvo has left the rivals facing the unsettling prospect of having the same major owner.

For Geely Chairman Li Shufu, whose Zhejiang Geely Holding already owns Swedish carmaker Volvo Car Group, the deals seem intended to drive cooperation between companies in which it is an owner, though what it means in practice remains in doubt.

"Our view is that potential partnerships that fulfil all legal and regulatory requirements, and which are mutually beneficial, should always be discussed," Mr Li wrote in a rare article published in Swedish and German media this month.

AB Volvo's top executive and chairman at the group's annual shareholders' meeting this month voiced cautious optimism regarding the likely Geely ownership, but also showed some surprise at the deal to buy activist fund Cevian's stake.

REUTERS

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