Dong Chen
Winners and losers in Asia’s evolving geopolitical and economic order
Asean’s role as a neutral platform for dialogue may be strengthened
Embracing endowment-style investing
By focusing on longevity, investors seek to grow both capital and income over a long time horizon – sometimes in perpetuity
Tariff turmoil, tectonic shifts and China tech advances
In the longer term, the trade conflict with the US will likely accelerate the development of China’s domestic semiconductor industry
European assets back in the spotlight; defence spending could be a tailwind
EU equities may be boosted by a dovish monetary policy stance and high consumer savings rate providing additional support for growth
Core positioning for 2025 – and preparing for surprises
Three convictions for the year: Favour cash-rich companies and financials, profit from increased M&A activity, and benefit from private equity’s revival
Take a long-term view and position portfolios for opportunities
While market volatility is likely in the short term, investors should embrace a longer outlook
Bonds’ appeal rises as rate cuts loom
Local-currency emerging-market government debt seen to offer attractive risk-adjusted yields; selective opportunities in investment-grade corporate bonds as well
Multiple pathways seen for global economy for the rest of 2024
We expect US growth to moderate, a modest rebound in Europe and a gradual recovery in China
Gearing up for change and the challenge of ‘radical uncertainty’
A thorough analysis of companies’ and industries’ exposure to event risk will be an integral part of the investment process
Looking through the uncertainties of 2024
In the current environment, fixed-income assets look more interesting than equities, especially investment-grade bonds