Javier Blas

Most of the leverage Beijing had over Teheran rested on the money it was paying for oil, which will end if the blockade halts exports.
THE BOTTOM LINE

The Hormuz blockade is as much about China as Iran

Washington hopes that Beijing will convince Iran to soften its demands, but the latter may choose to wait and see

In its desperation to hold down WTI, the White House is throwing everything at the problem, including the kitchen sink.

White House is using the wrong oil price for Iran war

What matters for the US economy is not the price of WTI, but the cost of refined petrol products

In response to surging demand, the size of the land-based animal herd has expanded massively.

My Christmas Iberico ham scare is an omen

We fear something like another Covid-19 outbreak, but probably the next disease to hit the global economy will not infect humans

For the brave, Big Oil’s time in investment purgatory offered a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity.

Big Oil will miss the financial discipline imposed by ESG

After a long silence, big asset managers are again talking about their fossil-fuel funds

The world will reap a record rice harvest of about 541 million tonnes in 2025 to 2026.

Rice can feed the world – even with fewer farmers

The world’s most important crop for food security is reaching its lowest price in 18 years

Despite rising production from the Opec+ cartel, oil prices have stabilised in recent weeks at just over US$65 a barrel – about US$10 above the lows seen in early May.

Winter is coming for oil – and not in a positive way

Shifting seasonality means global demand will be lower in the fourth quarter than the third

China buys 90% of the oil Iran exports.
THE BROAD VIEW

What sanctions? Iranian oil industry is booming

Historically, Washington often shows that keeping prices of the commodity low is the priority

The average Indian today consumes about 1.4 barrels of oil a year, well below the 4.3 barrels a year of the average Chinese.
THE BOTTOM LINE

The oil market has a bigger problem than a slowing China – India

Demand in the world’s most populous country isn’t growing fast enough

Oil ships docked at a Chinese port. For China and many other developing countries, barrels from Russia, Iran and Venezuela – the three major oil producers under Western sanctions – are as good as any.
THE BOTTOM LINE

The black market for oil will continue to thrive

The business is so lucrative that everyone involved is motivated to find alternative routes, tricks and ploys to keep the wheels turning

Beijing has imposed export controls on five metals: tungsten (above), tellurium, bismuth, molybdenum and indium.

Don’t fall for the hype about China’s critical-minerals controls

READING some of the commentary about looming shortages, one would think America is doomed after China imposed export controls on five so-called critical minerals this month. Ignore the hype – the US w...