Jeffrey Frankel

PROFESSOR OF CAPITAL FORMATION AND GROWTH AT HARVARD UNIVERSITY

US President Donald Trump’s return to the White House last year brought an aggressive shift towards oil and gas at the expense of renewables.

Is the US falling victim to the resource curse?

Signage warning of closures due to the US government shutdown in front of the National Gallery of Art. In the US, public debt now stands at 99% of GDP.

What will the US debt reckoning look like?

Voter behaviour is often driven by culture and ideology. Voters might understand that Donald Trump is going to reduce or eliminate government benefits that improve their lives, but support him anyway, because they believe in small government and self-reliance as matters of principle.

Are Maga voters rational?

By enabling the resurgence of diseases that have been brought under control, and hampering progress in tackling others, Trump is indirectly jeopardising Americans’ health.

Make America sick again

American President Donald Trump (left) has no doubt that he understands monetary policy better than Fed policymakers – “certainly much better” than chair Jerome Powell.

Are Trump’s criticisms of Fed policy based on economic conditions?

For some 80 years, the United States spent more on humanitarian assistance, economic development programmes, and other types of foreign aid than any other government.
PERSPECTIVE

Foreign aid looks good now that it’s gone

With Trump's trade tariffs clouding economic forecasts, indicators are unable to help us navigate the dense fog.

How to forecast a recession

An effort to devalue the US dollar could well lead to the greenback’s demise as the dominant global currency.

Is Trump engineering the decline and fall of the US dollar?

As Trump touts his non-achievements, the costs to the US pile up, to say nothing of the potentially catastrophic costs of strategic failures like the incipient rupture with Europe.

Trump’s imaginary victories

If the Trump administration were to retaliate against the Brics with 100 per cent tariffs, the move could backfire, prompting central banks to turn to the renminbi, smaller currencies or even gold for their international reserves.

Can Trump’s tariff threats save US dollar hegemony?