John Woods

John Woods

The Strait of Hormuz is serving as one giant chessboard, and there is a growing sense that the endgame in the Iran war is in sight.
RETHINKING MATTERS

Will the Iran conflict end in checkmate or stalemate?

Much is uncertain, now with the Strait of Hormuz’s vulnerability apparent and key issues still unresolved

An Israeli artillery unit firing towards Lebanon on Mar 17. Emerging and Asia-focused markets have fallen some 5% to 9% since the crisis erupted on Feb 28.
RETHINKING MATTERS

The Iran war: Will it stay? Or will it go now?

The longer the conflict drags on, the worse the outcome for both the global economy and global markets

Investors have been grappling with concerns around the additional trade tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump following the recent Supreme Court ruling.
RETHINKING MATTERS

Trading in the ‘Year of Geopolitics’

Asian investors should take a more nuanced approach than either pure complacency or panic selling

Above: Singapore Exchange at Raffles Place.  Asia’s superior growth dynamics, attractive valuations and resilient policy frameworks are making EMs, and Asian EMs in particular, the standout opportunity for 2026.
RETHINKING MATTERS

Local hero: Asia’s risk markets

Conditions are finally ripe for Asian equity markets to outperform those in developed peers in 2026

As China heads into 2026, its economy continues to flash warning signs with slowing growth, lingering disinflation, subdued consumption, and a property market still trying to find a floor.
RETHINKING MATTERS

So bad it’s good: Why Chinese equities could shine in 2026

Conditions like slowing growth and subdued consumption are still viewed as catalysts that could lift equities in 2026

Portfolio flows into Asian local currency bonds and equities are projected to remain robust, with foreign portfolio inflows highly likely to recover further in 2026 amid a benign economic environment.
RETHINKING MATTERS

Asia’s 2026 outlook: resilient growth amid policy shifts, global risks

Region enters the year buoyed by liquidity tailwinds, hinging on China’s pivotal shift towards consumption

Workers transporting soil containing rare earth elements for export at a port in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China.
RETHINKING MATTERS

China’s Fourth Plenum – planning or prepping?

Beijing’s new-found willingness to go head-to-head with the US in its trade and tariff war marks a new, muscular change in mindset

Many of Japan’s longer-dated government bond yields have recently spiked and are now at – or close to – record highs. This has created a rare moment of flexibility for Japanese investors who now enjoy the luxury of choice: invest domestically or abroad – without surrendering yield.
RETHINKING MATTERS

The great sucking sound: Japan’s capital shifts

Why the 30-year Japanese government bond yield could be the most important ‘risk indicator’ in the world now

Despite the tumultuous backdrop of US trade policy, the first half of 2025 concluded with a surprising level of resilience in the US economy.
WHO’S WHO IN PRIVATE BANKING

A year less ordinary: Navigating discordant narratives in 2025

In this dynamic environment, the ability to pivot and seize opportunities will define successful investment strategies for the remainder of the year

Despite the tumultuous backdrop of US trade policy, US equities in the first half rebounded more strongly than anticipated.
RETHINKING MATTERS

Plain sailing and successful investing

How to navigate 2025’s trade policy uncertainties and geopolitical tensions