Jonathan Eyal

A photo from Iran's Tasnim news agency showing an Islamic Revolutionary Guards boat allegedly taking part in an operation on Apr 21 to seize ships attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz.
NEW ANALYSIS

Will Gulf states find new oil pipelines fast enough to reduce Hormuz reliance?

The prospect that Iran may close Hormuz was acknowledged as a significant danger by strategic experts

The United Arab Emirates has dealt a severe blow to Opec with its plans to quit the oil cartel.
COMMENTARY

UAE’s Opec exit: Shockwaves will be felt beyond oil prices

Cartel crack-up reflects growing friction and regional rivalry between the Saudis and the Emiratis

Although the Islamabad talks yielded no concrete results, they remain an important achievement.
NEWS ANALYSIS

Trump’s full blockade of Hormuz threatens the already fragile ceasefire. Will the war resume?

The US wants the strait opened as quickly as possible, to avert another spike in oil prices

The Iranians may appear to stand tall, but they will need many years to recover from the blows they suffered.
NEWS ANALYSIS

One month on, Iran has the upper hand as war risks rise for Trump and the world

If the US escalates its military pressure, the Iranian regime is willing to take the pain

Few details have filtered out about the diplomatic compromise that apparently satisfied Mr Trump enough for him to withdraw his initial Greenland tariff threat.

Three key provisions in Trump’s Greenland deal with Nato. Will they be enough?

EU leaders appear to have agreed they will now proceed to ratify their existing trade deal with the US

A march protesting against President Donald Trump's threats regarding Greenland in the territory's city of Nuuk, on Jan 17.

Trump’s Greenland tariff threats: What options do European countries have?

[BRUSSELS] European Union leaders are convening an extraordinary emergency summit in the “coming days” to agree on a joint response to US President Donald Trump’s latest threatened tariffs on eight Eu...

Donald Trump still has more than three years left to his presidency.

The Trump blitzkrieg is running into resistance

While not yet a lame duck, the US president is encountering signs of pushback