Leon Hadar

US President Donald Trump says the peace talks' failure stems "99%" from Iran's refusal to commit to a verifiable renunciation of nuclear weapons and enrichment capability.

After Islamabad: Washington’s policy options in the Iran war

With no risk-free path, the question is which combination of pressure and flexibility is most likely to produce a durable outcome

About 45% of Americans are “extremely” or “very” concerned about being able to afford petrol in the next few months, up from 30% shortly after Trump won re-election. 
THE BOTTOM LINE

A war the public didn’t ask for

Rising fuel prices in the US cut across party lines in a way that military strategy does not

Every US dollar added to the price of oil is a tax on Iran’s adversaries and, critically, on the Western economies underwriting opposition to Teheran.
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Iran and the ‘Strait card’: a risky high-stakes gamble

How the country could turn its control of the Strait of Hormuz into a victory

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi stopped short of explicitly naming the US or Israel as aggressors, a telling omission from a country that otherwise speaks with little diplomatic timidity.

Beijing’s calculated silence on the Iran war 

For China, the deeper strategic calculation is not about Iran’s survival, but about the shape of the emerging world order

Pakistan’s emergence as a mediator is not merely opportunistic; it also rests on genuine structural advantages.

Pakistan’s pivotal moment: Peacemaker, partner, or tightrope walker?

It has emerged as a key interlocutor between the US and Iran, but its position is as precarious as it is prestigious

Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell intends to remain in his role until his successor is confirmed, but has not indicated whether he plans to remain as a Fed governor.
THINKING ALOUD

The clock is ticking on the Fed’s leadership change

A Senate impasse, criminal probe and unusual political pressure mean the transition may not be clean or quick

Donald Trump has sought China's help in pressuring Teheran and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, but Beijing has so far declined.
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Beijing bound: What the Trump-Xi summit in May reveals about a world in flux

Underlying all issues is the broader contest for global influence

US military personnel with munitions at the RAF Fairford airbase in Gloucestershire, UK. Defence officials in Asia are growing alarmed that more American firepower will shift over time if the Middle East conflict drags on.

The quiet death of the US pivot to Asia

Iran campaign consumes capabilities America would rely on in any major conflict in the Indo-Pacific

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi gave US President Donald Trump a detailed explanation of what Japan can and cannot do under its law in the current Iran conflict.
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Surprise and alliance: What the Trump-Takaichi meeting reveals

The US-Israeli war loomed over every exchange between the US president and Japanese prime minister

Perhaps the most striking dimension of Trump’s push is the appeal to China, a country he has spent years framing as a strategic adversary.
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The Hormuz gamble: Trump’s coalition dream and its hard realities

Gap between Trump’s claims and silence of the countries he is counting on speaks volumes about limits of pressure-based multilateralism