Mohamed El-Erian

A FORMER CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER OF PIMCO, HE IS PRESIDENT OF QUEENS’ COLLEGE, CAMBRIDGE; CHIEF ECONOMIC ADVISER AT ALLIANZ SE; AND CHAIR OF GRAMERCY FUND MANAGEMENT. HE IS AUTHOR OF “THE ONLY GAME IN TOWN".

New Fed chair Kevin Warsh has arrived with a sweeping reform agenda, immediately announcing the establishment of five task forces.
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A different type of G7 central bank divergence

The sheer volume of debt involved is one risk. It raises the spectre of financial bubbles, especially if the AI-driven productivity miracle fails to monetise as expected.

The twin ‘factories’ spurring global growth are both at risk

The volatility in tariff policy has been a contributor to both unusual financial market fluctuations and eye-popping swings in the consensus economic narrative.
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US tariff policy accelerates deeper structural changes

A dose of humility will help the Jerome Powell-led Fed reduce the risk of another bout of slippages in analysis, forecasts, communication and policy design.

The Fed must resist repeating past mistakes

Lower-income households in the US have been struggling, burdened by dwindling savings, maxed-out credit cards and mounting debt.
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US recession odds are becoming unsettlingly high

AI-focused technological optimism is reflected in the extent to which a handful of companies have led the surge in the S&P 500 Index from one record level to the next.
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The three forces shifting the investment landscape

US president-elect Donald Trump (left) and UK Prime Minster Keir Starmer. America is a vital partner, accounting for nearly 20 per cent of the UK’s exports and imports, and a third of FDI into the country.
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The UK can find its way in Trump’s America

Both Kamala Harris (left) and Donald Trump lack the specifics to meet their promises.
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Five economic areas the incoming US president needs to tackle

Gold's rise over the past 12 months has occurred despite some wild swings in expected policy rates, a wide fluctuation band for benchmark US yields, falling inflation and currency volatility.
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Why the West should be paying more attention to the gold price rise

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell must talk clearly about three things, says the writer – where the economy and policy stand; what the policy destination looks like; and how the Fed will get there.
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The stakes are high for Powell and the Fed at Jackson Hole