The Business Times

Euro dips on Italy debt worries and trade tensions

Published Tue, May 28, 2019 · 09:50 PM

London

THE euro dipped on Tuesday as investors nervous about trade tensions bought into the safe-haven US dollar and fretted that political risks in Europe remain high, even though pro-Europe parties won a majority of European parliamentary seats.

Remarks by two eurozone officials that the European Commission was likely to fine Italy on June 5, because its rising debt and structural deficits break European Union rules, also weighed on the single currency.

Pro-Europe parties kept a majority of seats in last week's European parliamentary elections. Support grew for eurosceptic and right-wing parties, but not as much as investors had feared.

European leaders now meet in Brussels to fill in a number of top EU posts, from the head of the European Commission to the European Central Bank.

"I wouldn't be surprised if the market is still digesting the European election results. Things still don't look very promising as the focus moves to who gets which job in Europe," said Commerzbank currencies analyst Thu Lan Nguyen.

Currency markets remain in tight ranges without new catalysts and amid uncertainty over how trade tensions between the United States and China are affecting the world's major economies.

The euro slipped 0.1 per cent to US$1.1179. The single currency did gain initially after the EU election results, but not for long.

The US dollar rose 0.2 per cent against a basket of peers, its index touching 97.791. It remains off a two-year high of 98.371 hit on Thursday.

The yen was in a holding pattern, rising 0.2 per cent to 109.35 yen. US President Donald Trump, who is visiting Japan, is expected to put pressure on Tokyo to reduce the country's large trade surplus with the US.

Mr Trump said on Monday that he expected the two countries to be "announcing some things, probably in August, that will be very good for both countries" on trade.

"While it's positive that there will be time for solving the US-Japan trade issue, that doesn't mean the problem has been resolved," said Kumiko Ishikawa, senior analyst at Sony Financial Holdings. "(But) it's providing some relief."

Ms Ishikawa said the still-unresolved trade disputes between the US and China made it hard for investors to take on risk.

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar gained to US$0.6923, about 0.75 per cent above Thursday's four-month low.

The Swedish crown rallied 0.3 per cent to 10.689 crowns per euro despite a weaker than expected consumer confidence reading.

Sterling slipped 0.1 per cent to US$1.2671 as candidates to succeed British Prime Minister Theresa May laid out some of their Brexit plans. REUTERS

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