The Business Times

US dollar rises on talk of potential Fed chief nominee

Published Tue, Oct 17, 2017 · 10:19 PM

[NEW YORK] The US dollar rose to a one-week high against a basket of currencies on Tuesday on speculation that US President Donald Trump was leaning towards nominating a Federal Reserve head who would be more inclined to raise interest rates at a faster pace.

The greenback was also supported by US two-year Treasury yields hitting nine-year highs on Tuesday. Yields climbed as well on growing expectations that Mr Trump favoured Stanford economist John Taylor to head the US central bank.

"Taylor is perceived as more hawkish than Ms Yellen so under his potential tutelage, the central bank might lift borrowing rates more aggressively, which would bolster the dollar's allure," said Joe Manimbo, senior marker analyst, at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington.

The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major peers, hit a one-week high of 93.729.

The index was last up 0.2 per cent at 93.488.

Interest rates futures implied traders saw a 93 per cent chance the Fed would raise rates in December, CME Group's FedWatch programme showed.

MUFG currency economist Lee Hardman, in London, said the bank would "not be surprised" to see an initial jump in the US dollar of between 3 per cent and 5 per cent should Mr Taylor be chosen.

Bloomberg reported on Monday that Mr Trump was impressed with Mr Taylor after meeting with him last week.

Mr Trump's shortlist also includes Jerome Powell, a Fed governor; Mr Trump's top economic adviser Gary Cohn; Ms Yellen, whose term expires in February; and Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor, sources have said, though investors say the chances of Mr Warsh being selected have fallen.

Mr Trump is expected to announce his pick before going to Asia in early November.

Knocked by a stronger US dollar, the euro slipped to a one-week low of US$1.1734, having fallen almost 3 per cent since hitting a 2-1/2-year high last month. The euro was last down 0.2 per cent at US$1.1770.

The euro did not budge on German ZEW economic sentiment data that fell short of forecast by coming at 17.6 points, below an expected 20.1 points.

Markets are wary of chasing the euro lower before a European Central Bank policy meeting next week.

Sterling dropped below US$1.32 for the first time since Thursday, after comments by Bank of England policymakers were interpreted by markets as broadly dovish.

Earlier on Tuesday, official data showed Britain's inflation rate hit 3 per cent, above the BOE's 2 per cent target but in line with expectations.

REUTERS

KEYWORDS IN THIS ARTICLE

BT is now on Telegram!

For daily updates on weekdays and specially selected content for the weekend. Subscribe to  t.me/BizTimes

Banking & Finance

SUPPORT SOUTH-EAST ASIA'S LEADING FINANCIAL DAILY

Get the latest coverage and full access to all BT premium content.

SUBSCRIBE NOW

Browse corporate subscription here