The Business Times

US dollar scores best day in four months after lousy quarter

Published Mon, Jul 3, 2017 · 10:21 PM

[NEW YORK] The US dollar recorded its best day in four months on Monday, starting the new quarter on a strong note, bolstered by higher US bond yields and data that showed manufacturing activity climbed to its strongest level in nearly three years.

The greenback just came off its worst quarter since 2010 last week as overseas central banks have signalled they are considering whether to begin reducing monetary stimulus in light of evidence their local economies are doing better.

"The market is debating whether central banks could follow through with their tightening. So far the data are going central banks' way," said Steven Englander, head of research and strategy at Rafiki Capital Management in New York.

Earlier Monday, the Institute for Supply Management said its index of national factory activity rose to 57.8 last month, the highest reading since August 2014.

This upbeat factory report propelled benchmark 10-year Treasury yield to 2.353 per cent, the highest in nearly seven weeks, Reuters data showed.

A closely watched index that tracks the US dollar against six major currencies was 0.62 per cent at 96.223, marking its biggest one-day increase since March 1.

The US dollar index rebounded from a near nine-month low seen on Friday. It shed 4.71 per cent in the second quarter, its steepest quarterly loss since the 8.49 per cent drop in third quarter of 2010.

Speculators have reduced to net bullish dollar bets to their fewest in about year last week, Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed late Friday.

The greenback climbed to a six-week high against the yen at 113.45 yen. It was last up 0.9 per cent at 113.40 yen.

The euro retreated from its highest in more than a year against the US dollar set last week. It was last down nearly 0.6 per cent at US$1.1358.

The single currency brushed off a Reuters report that said some European Central Bank policy-makers were wary of removing the easing bias in its policy statement at its July 20 meeting.

Currency trading activity was muted ahead of the US July Fourth holiday. US financial markets will close early on Monday and will be shut on Tuesday.

Ahead of Tuesday's meeting of Sweden's Riksbank, the Swedish crown was down 0.8 per cent at 8.4920 crown per US dollar.

Any shift in the wording of the Reserve Bank of Australia's statement, also early on Tuesday, may also support the Aussie, which was 0.5 per cent below Friday's close at US$0.7653.

REUTERS

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