ANALYSIS

AMC's Adam Aron rides retail investor wave, with popcorn and tweets

But some are sceptical that such showmanship will bolster firm's share price long term

Published Thu, Jun 3, 2021 · 09:50 PM

    DeeperDive is a beta AI feature. Refer to full articles for the facts.

    New York

    FREE popcorn for shareholders.

    Following more than 500 die-hard fans of his company's stock on Twitter. Retweeting a video of what appears to be an aeroplane flying a banner with the meme-stock rallying cry "AMC to the Moon" around Manhattan.

    Welcome to the world of AMC Entertainment Holdings chief executive Adam Aron, who since the beginning of the year has taken to new heights the role of chief promoter of a company that was on the brink of bankruptcy.

    At a time when many on Wall Street argue that the movie theatre operator is over-valued and in dire need of an accelerated economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic to justify its share price, Mr Aron, 66, is leaning in to the growing power of individual investors to keep so-called meme stocks surging. "Watch out naysayers, AMC is going to play on offence again. Here we come!" Mr Aron wrote in a June 1 tweet.

    He has been riding a wave of enthusiasm for the stock. AMC shares are up nearly 3,000 per cent since the start of the year and almost doubled on Wednesday to close at US$62.55 a share, way above the average target price of US$5.11 among Wall Street analysts, according to Refinitiv data.

    DECODING ASIA

    Navigate Asia in
    a new global order

    Get the insights delivered to your inbox.

    AMC is now valued at US$28.2 billion, based on Wednesday's closing price.

    Mr Aron, who became CEO in 2016 after running the National Basketball Association's Philadelphia 76ers, started promoting AMC after its shares were swept up in a retail buying frenzy in January. AMC did not respond to a request for comment, and Mr Aron did not reply to a direct message on Twitter.

    Mr Aron is part of a growing number of executives on Wall Street such as Tesla's Elon Musk and the incoming chairman of GameStop, Ryan Cohen, who appear to be doing more to court retail rather than institutional investors.

    "These individual investors likely own a majority of our shares," Mr Aron said during the company's May earnings call. "They own AMC. We work for them. I work for them."

    Some analysts are sceptical that such showmanship will bolster AMC's share price long term. There are no actively managed stock funds among the company's 20 largest shareholders, according to Refinitiv data, leaving open the risk that a shift in retail investor opinion could quickly sink its shares.

    "The Twitter horde love him. He's playing to the crowd and it's working," said MKM Partners analyst Eric Handler, who questioned AMC'S stated strategy of issuing new shares to raise capital. "He'd be better off improving the balance sheet and providing some stability for the business," he said.

    Michael Pachter, an analyst at Wedbush Securities, said that selling enough movie tickets and popcorn to justify a US$40 share price for the company - where it was trading early on Wednesday - would require that revenues nearly double from his 2022 estimates of US$322,000 per screen from movie tickets and US$6 per person in spending on food and drinks.

    "It's hard to understand why AMC would perform at double its historical average," he said.

    Mr Aron, whose career includes a decade as chief executive of Vail Resorts and a stint leading Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide, focused more of his attention on connecting with consumers rather than retail shareholders in his previous executive roles.

    At the 76ers, for instance, he was part of a charge to cut ticket prices, while at Vail Resorts he was instrumental in expanding the company into a nationwide business. Shares of the company fell nearly 4 per cent when he announced his resignation in 2006.

    Promoting a company's shares to retail investors may be the new reality for many companies, said Jim Paulsen, chief investment officer at the Leuthold Group.

    "CEOs have always been showmen and a big part of what they do is put on shows for institutional investors," said Mr Paulsen. "You may have a Reddit group that is the focus of the tweet but the reality is institutional guys like me are going to hear about it just as quickly." REUTERS

    Decoding Asia newsletter: your guide to navigating Asia in a new global order. Sign up here to get Decoding Asia newsletter. Delivered to your inbox. Free.

    Share with us your feedback on BT's products and services