Citi expects big year for India M&As with capital flowing from far and wide

    • Investments will range from outright acquisitions to greenfield projects and partnerships, Citi’s India investment banking head Rahul Saraf says.
    • Investments will range from outright acquisitions to greenfield projects and partnerships, Citi’s India investment banking head Rahul Saraf says. PHOTO: BLOOMBERG
    Published Fri, Feb 2, 2024 · 10:42 AM

    MERGER and acquisition (M&A) activity in India should grow this year as a wide array of companies attract capital from sovereign wealth funds, the Middle East and elsewhere, Citigroup’s top executive in the country said.

    Investments will range from outright acquisitions to greenfield projects and partnerships, Citi’s India investment banking head Rahul Saraf said in an interview with Bloomberg News in Mumbai. There’s likely to be an increase in dealmaking in industrials, manufacturing, information technology services and insurance, as well as some consolidation among shadow banks, he said.

    Deal volume has been growing as financial sponsors, pension and sovereign wealth funds from places such as the US, Canada and Singapore snap up controlling stakes in Indian infrastructure companies, real estate and green energy to ride on the country’s economic growth. The booming stock market helps, with the benchmark Sensex advancing in each of the past eight years.

    “India is moving to a different orbit,” Saraf said. “We will continue to do well, irrespective of whether China is doing well or not. We will continue to grow and we will continue to attract capital.”

    An aggressive second wave of buying by private equity, sovereign and pension funds that already have a presence in India is likely as they have come to understand conditions in the country much better, according to Saraf.

    Among them, Singapore’s Temasek Holdings plans to commit as much as US$10 billion in three years and expand its headcount, betting that the country can become a top growth driver, its India head said in an interview in July. Bain Capital has also earmarked US$7 billion to invest in India in the next three to five years and intends to enlarge its team, Bloomberg News reported on Thursday (Feb 1).

    The Middle East corridor is looking busy too, with the United Arab Emirates considering investing as much as US$50 billion in India, Bloomberg reported in November. Some of the investments could involve sovereign wealth funds such as the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, Mubadala Investment and ADQ.

    “Middle East funds will look to India to buy infrastructure, digital and industrial assets,” Saraf said. “There will be more funds into India than in the past.”

    Citi should get a decent portion of the fee pool after bagging a 12 per cent share from announced India deals last year, Saraf added, describing that as “great” for “one bank in a 25 bank market”. BLOOMBERG

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