Indian firms ready US$3 billion of debt issues with eye on potential RBI rate hike
The move comes ahead of the central bank’s October 7 monetary policy decision
[MUMBAI] Indian companies are rushing to lock in borrowing costs ahead of a potential rate hike by the central bank, with about US$3 billion of rupee debt issuances lined up over the next few days.
Large Indian conglomerates, state-run firms, infrastructure investment trusts and non-bank finance companies are preparing at least 290 billion rupees (US$3.02 billion) of short- to long-duration bond sales ahead of the central bank’s October 7 monetary policy decision.
Some of the prominent corporate borrowers issuing debt include Reliance Industries, Vedanta, Delhi International Airport, Adani Airport Holdings and JSW Energy, seeking an aggregate 185 billion rupees, while infrastructure-related firms Cube Highways Trust, Interise Trust and India Infradebt are eyeing 60 billion rupees.
“Issuers who have a view that rupee interest rates will go even higher are locking in rates,” said Akshay Naik, India head of debt capital markets at Citibank.
“We expect issuances, particularly from large, frequent and high-rated issuers to be absorbed by investors.”
A large majority of market participants expect the Reserve Bank of India to raise interest rates, with further liquidity-draining measures on the cards. If they’re right, it would mark the RBI’s first rate hike since February 2023.
“With the October policy approaching, there is some uncertainty around the direction of interest rates and liquidity conditions,” said Harish Reddy, co-founder, Stable Money, a fixed income investment platform.
The policy decision has as its backdrop signs of broadening inflation in India and hikes by major central banks globally, including by the US Federal Reserve. Expectations for RBI policy have shifted over the past month amid a pickup in inflation and stubbornly higher oil prices, bringing prospects of an October rate hike into focus.
Several foreign banks, including Citi and Deutsche Bank, have brought forward their rate-hike calls from December to October, while market pricing reflects a higher likelihood of a longer tightening cycle.
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While a rate hike hanging over the market’s head is pushing up corporate issuance, there is also “a lot of liquidity in the (banking) system to absorb this supply,” said Ankit Gupta, founder and MD, Digifinn, an online bond trading platform. REUTERS
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