Weak economic data sends sterling to new lows against US dollar

STERLING fell to a fresh 2-year low against the US dollar on Thursday (May 12) after a slew of data pointed to a weakening British economy.

Britain's economy unexpectedly shrank 0.1 per cent in March after a slump in car sales due to supply-chain problems.

Data also showed British employers added permanent staff last month at the weakest rate in more than a year suggesting the labour market might be cooling, according to a survey that will be noted by the Bank of England as it assesses inflation pressures.

"The 0.1 per cent month-on-month drop in UK March GDP highlights the loss of momentum in the economy since the start of the year as higher inflation bites," said Jane Foley, head of FX at Rabobank London.

The Bank of England will have to push borrowing costs higher to control fast-rising inflation, but its 4 interest rate increases since December are having an impact on the economy, Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden told Bloomberg News.

"Hawkish remarks from Ramsden are a reminder of the stagflationary theme and have offered no respite to the battered pound," Rabobank's Foley added.

CIBC Economics said it had revised down its forecast for sterling, in line with the deterioration in the growth backdrop and squeeze to incomes from higher inflation and taxes.

By 1455 GMT, the pound was down 0.1 per cent at $1.22300 against the US dollar, after touching $1.2165, its lowest since May 2020, in early London trading.

Adding pressure on sterling, the US dollar hit a 2-decade high after US inflation eased less than markets had expected, likely keeping the Federal Reserve on course to tighten policy aggressively.

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Against a weakening euro, hit by a fresh wave of risk-aversion, sterling had a choppy day. It jumped 0.8 per cent to 85.19 pence against the euro, after falling to 86.18 pence in early London trading, its lowest against the single currency since October 2021. REUTERS