Dollar up as White House denies report of US-China deal

Published Sun, Nov 4, 2018 · 09:50 PM
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THE dollar rose against the yen and the euro on Friday last week in a choppy session, as worries that a trade deal between the United States and China may not be imminent curtailed risk appetite and boosted safe-haven demand for the greenback.

White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow told CNBC that President Donald Trump has not asked US officials to draw up a proposed trade plan for China, shooting down an earlier report from Bloomberg that Mr Trump had asked officials to draft a possible deal.

Mr Kudlow also said he was not as optimistic as he once was about the two nations reaching a deal and said that Mr Trump "could pull the trigger" on additional tariffs on Chinese imports, depending on how talks go.

Separately, Mr Trump told reporters that a lot of progress had been made with China on trade, and he predicted that the world's two largest economies would reach a very good deal.

Risk sentiment deteriorated after the Kudlow remarks and that later drove more safe-haven demand for the dollar, said Juan Perez, senior currency trader with Tempus in Washington.

The dollar was 0.51 per cent higher against the yen, while the euro was down 0.19 per cent against the greenback.

"Just looking at the movements over the past two days for the US dollar, the headlines surrounding US-China talks - progress or lack thereof - is contributing to swings in broader risk sentiment, which is contributing to swings in the US dollar," said Eric Viloria, FX strategist at Credit Agricole in New York.

Investors' view that the United States is in better shape than its rivals to weather a trade war has helped drive demand for the dollar.

On Friday, the dollar was also supported by data that showed US job growth rebounded sharply in October and wages recorded their largest annual gain in 91/2 years, which could keep the Federal Reserve on track to raise interest rates in December.

But the boost to the dollar from the jobs data was relatively muted.

"I think we might be seeing some signs that dollar gains are starting to become somewhat limited at these levels," said Sireen Harajli, foreign exchange strategist at Mizuho in New York.

The dollar index, which tracks the greenback versus the euro, yen, sterling and three other currencies, was up 0.25 per cent at 96.519. It hit a 16-month high on Wednesday.

The offshore yuan was trading at 6.8928 per dollar as at 1914 GMT after surging to a high of 6.8525, its strongest level since Sept. 24.

Sterling was down 0.32 per cent on the day, but on pace for its biggest weekly gain in seven weeks.

The pound was aided last week after the Bank of England signalled more interest rate hikes could be on the way if Britain's exit from the European Union is smooth.

The Canadian dollar dipped from an earlier one-week high against the greenback after investors deemed domestic jobs and trade data not strong enough to raise bets for another Bank of Canada interest rate hike next month. REUTERS

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