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More commodities volatility expected as Russia troubles persist: analysts

 Uma Devi
Published Mon, Jun 26, 2023 · 04:13 PM
    • Over the past 35 years, geopolitical events in big oil producers have increased oil prices by an average of 8 per cent over the five days after the start of the triggering event, says Mukesh Sahdev, senior vice-president and head of downstream at Rystad Energy.
    • Over the past 35 years, geopolitical events in big oil producers have increased oil prices by an average of 8 per cent over the five days after the start of the triggering event, says Mukesh Sahdev, senior vice-president and head of downstream at Rystad Energy. PHOTO: BLOOMBERG

    THE ongoing turmoil in Russia could bring about more volatility in the commodities space – particularly in crude oil, natural gas and grains – as the country’s stability hangs in the balance, analysts polled by The Business Times warned. 

    A crisis was briefly avoided on Sunday (Jun 25), as an aborted mutiny in Russia by the Wagner mercenary group gave investors a brief reprieve, but the commodity giant’s geopolitical problems and mounting tensions could once again cause a stir in commodity prices. 

    Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank’s head of economics and strategy for Asia, said geopolitical risks tend to have a “significant impact” on commodity prices due to adverse supply shocks. 

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