Oil edges higher ahead of long US weekend as Washington-Teheran peace efforts hold

[PERTH] Oil prices edged up on Friday (Jul 3) before a long holiday weekend in the US, as wary optimism held over efforts to secure peace in the Middle East between the US and Iran.

Brent futures climbed US$0.46, or 0.64 per cent, to US$72.26 a barrel as of 0407 GMT. West Texas Intermediate was up US$0.32, or 0.47 per cent, to US$69.01 a barrel.

US markets will be closed on Friday ahead of the US Independence Day holiday on Saturday.

During the prior session the two benchmarks hit their lowest levels since before the US-Israeli war on Iran began in late February. Brent for the week was up 0.35 per cent and WTI up 0.43 per cent, the smallest weekly movements for both in months.

“It’s a case of guarded optimism, with the market wanting to believe the peace efforts will hold, but it’s still hedging its bets until it sees real evidence on the water,” said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

Shipping has partially resumed through the Strait of Hormuz, as called for under the initial deal between Iran and the US, after the two countries exchanged strikes over the weekend of Jun 27-28 following an Iranian attack on a cargo ship.

Gulf producers are working to ramp up production with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, which prior to the beginning of the war carried one-fifth of the world’s daily supply of oil and liquefied natural gas.

Kuwait’s oil production rose sharply to 1.65 million barrels per day in June from 580,000 bpd in May, a source familiar with the matter told Reuters on Thursday, as the Opec member boosted exports following the US-Iran interim peace agreement.

Also, at least five supertankers carrying a total of 10 million barrels of Saudi oil have exited the Strait of Hormuz, with Saudi Aramco switching to spot pricing to speed sales in Asia, according to trade sources and shipping data.

SEE ALSO

Saudi supertankers exit Hormuz in kingdom’s biggest oil flow since Iran war truce

China’s private refiners snap up Middle East oil as prices slide

Saudi Aramco ramps up exports, switches to spot sales

With the growing supply pressure, the spread between front month Brent and one month forward turned negative on Jun 24, while the six-month spread turned negative on Thursday. When that spread is negative, the market is in contango.

“The return of this supply coincides with continued SPR releases,” ING analysts said in a note on Friday, referring to the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

They added that with “the forward curve moving into contango, we could start to see more buying in the market.” REUTERS