Oil rises to highest in over 7 months on supply worries
OIL prices rose on Friday (Sep 1) to their highest in over half a year and were on track to snap a two-week losing streak, buoyed by expectations of tightening supplies.
Saudi Arabia is widely expected to extend a voluntary one million barrel per day (bpd) oil production cut into October, prolonging supply curbs engineered by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known collectively as Opec+, to support prices.
Russia, the world’s second-largest oil exporter, has already agreed with Opec+ partners to cut oil exports next month, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday.
At 3.18 pm GMT, Brent crude was up US$1.25, or 1.4 per cent, at US$88.08 a barrel. Earlier, it gained to a session high of US$88.42 a barrel, the highest since Jan 27.
US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) had risen US$1.39, roughly 1.7 per cent, to US$85.02. It rose earlier to US$85.39, the highest since Nov 17.
Brent is up about 4.2 per cent this week, while WTI has advanced by 6.5 per cent.
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“There is a realisation the economy is not falling off the map, and signs that demand is near record highs,” said Price Futures Group analyst Phil Flynn. “People have to face the cold, hard reality that supplies are below average.”
The appetite for oil in the United States has been robust, with commercial crude inventories declining in five of the most recent six weeks, according to surveys conducted by the US Energy Information Administration.
A keenly watched US report on Friday also showed a rise in the unemployment rate and moderation in wage growth, bolstering expectations of a pause in interest rate hikes.
Meanwhile, expectations for demand recovery elsewhere are growing.
A downturn in eurozone manufacturing eased last month, suggesting the worst may be over for the bloc’s beleaguered factories, while an unexpected rebound in China offered some hope for export-reliant economies, private surveys showed.
Both Opec and the International Energy Agency are depending on the world’s biggest oil importer, China, to shore up oil demand over the rest of 2023, but the sluggish recovery of the country’s economy has investors concerned.
The remainder of this year promises to bring supply shortage, partly owing to reasonably healthy global consumption and partly because of the Saudi determination to provide a high price floor, said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.
“Unless the Chinese economy stages a confident revival next year, the mood will sour markedly,” he said. REUTERS
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