European arms makers retreat as Ukraine peace plan gains traction
Defence stocks have helped to push the STOXX 600 index 10% higher this year
[BRUSSELS] European defence shares fell to their lowest levels since late August on Friday (Nov 21), pausing their strong run this year, after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said he was ready for “honest” work on a US-backed plan to end the war with Russia.
An index of aerospace and defence companies was down 3.3 per cent at 1004 GMT and heading for its biggest weekly losses since March. It underperformed the Europe-wide STOXX 600 index, which was down 1 per cent.
While off a recent peak in October, the index is still up more than 200 per cent since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022.
According to the US-backed plan, seen by Reuters, Kyiv would be required to give up the entire Donbas region and significantly downsize its military, conditions long seen by Ukraine’s allies as tantamount to capitulation.
“Even if Europe feels blindsided, (US President Donald) Trump and (Russian President Vladimir) Putin will not care. It could be that the peace plan will actually succeed,” said a Frankfurt-based trader.
Shares in Germany’s Renk fell around 11 per cent, on track for a sixth straight day of losses.
Hensoldt, which provides sensor systems for the Eurofighter and Leopard 2 tank-maker Rheinmetall were both down around 7 per cent.
Italy’s Leonardo and Sweden’s Saab slipped between around 4 per cent and 5 per cent.
Warship builder TKMS also fell around 5 per cent, while Spanish defence and technology firm Indra was down some 4 per cent.
Defence stocks have helped to push the STOXX 600 index 10 per cent higher this year, hitting successive record highs on the back of the prospect of a swell of government spending on regional security.
JPMorgan analysts wrote in a note earlier this week that they saw the latest peace plan as not acceptable to Ukraine or its European allies, and viewed the recent sell-off in defence companies as a “compelling entry point” into the sector.
“If the US is able to impose this plan (which is unlikely, in our view) we think it would amount to a de facto victory for Russia, driving European defence spending even higher than planned and at a much faster pace,” they wrote. REUTERS
Decoding Asia newsletter: your guide to navigating Asia in a new global order. Sign up here to get Decoding Asia newsletter. Delivered to your inbox. Free.
Share with us your feedback on BT's products and services
