Goldman, BNY Mellon sell US$6 billion of debt post-earnings
GOLDMAN Sachs Group and Bank of New York Mellon are selling a combined US$6 billion of investment-grade bonds on Wednesday (Oct 18), joining other Wall Street stalwarts selling debt post-earnings even as borrowing costs rise.
Goldman is selling US$4 billion of fixed-to-floating rate notes in two parts while BNY Mellon is selling US$2 billion with a similar structure and durations, according to sources with knowledge of the matter. The longest portion of Goldman’s offering, an 11-year security that is callable after 10 years, will yield 1.67 percentage points above Treasuries, after initial discussions of 1.95 to two percentage points, said a source familiar, who asked not to be identified as the details are private.
Goldman posted a second straight quarter of real estate writedowns and a continued dealmaking slump on Tuesday, leaving the firm’s profitability at about half the level it’s targeting. Trading revenue that surpassed analysts’ estimates helped soften the blow.
BNY Mellon also reported on Tuesday that total deposits dropped 5 per cent in the quarter through September from the previous three months, though it later indicated on earnings calls that deposits are likely to be stable going forward.
The longest tranche on the bank’s latest bond sale is an 11-year security that will yield 1.58 percentage points above Treasuries, following initial discussions of 1.80 to 1.85 percentage points, said a source familiar, asking not to be identified as discussing a private transaction.
BNY Mellon declined to comment, while Goldman Sachs didn’t reply to a request for comment.
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Bank bond sales
Big banks, which were expected to stay on the sidelines as they are well-funded for the short term and borrowing costs are high, are flooding the market with new deals. JPMorgan Chase & Co and Wells Fargo & Co collectively raised US$13.25 billion on Monday while PNC Financial Services Group led the way for regional bank issuance post-earnings, pricing US$3.5 billion in a two-part deal on Tuesday.
The slew of issuance may be a sign that banks expect it to become more expensive to borrow in the future. The average spread on a financial institution bond was at 146 basis points as at Tuesday, 22 basis points wider than the spread for the broader high-grade bond index, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
To be sure, while investment-grade all-in yields are the highest since 2009 and the rates market remains volatile amid rising geopolitical tensions, average high-grade spread volatility has been modest.
“Banks often issue to fund inventory and facilitate client activity, so spread level is critical,” said Robert Smalley, a financials credit desk analyst at UBS Group.
Smalley expects to see between US$15 billion and US$22 billion in new deals from the big banks post-earnings, he said. Meanwhile, JPMorgan financial sector analyst Kabir Caprihan is projecting between US$16 billion and US$20 billion from the big banks after earnings, according to a Monday note.
“For a financial intermediary, it is all about the risk premium they pay versus the risk premium they can earn,” said David Knutson, senior investment director at Schroder Investment Management.
“Effective household borrowing rates are near 20-year highs – it is a very good time for lenders from a margin perspective,” he said. BLOOMBERG
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