Investors dumping equities, cash amid fears of hawkish fed, Bank of America says

INVESTORS are dumping equities and cash alike in favour of bonds as they position for the risk that the Federal Reserve persists with hawkish policy moves, Bank of America strategists say.

Global equity funds lost US$7 billion in outflows in the week through Feb 22, while US$3.8 billion left cash funds, according to a note from the bank, citing EPFR Global data. At US$4.9 billion, bonds drew additions for an eighth straight week in the longest such streak since November 2021, the team led by Michael Hartnett said. 

US stocks have dropped in the past three weeks as signs of sticky inflation fanned fears that the Fed could pursue higher interest rates for longer. The first quarterly decline in corporate earnings since 2020 has also damped risk demand, and Wall Street market strategists including Michael Wilson at Morgan Stanley have warned that equities could see deep declines over the next few months.

Bank of America’s Hartnett reiterated his view that the S&P 500 could slide to 3,800 points by March 8 – implying declines of more than 5 per cent from its latest close. The strategist’s call is underpinned by expectations that resilient growth in the first half of the year will coincide with higher interest rates and lead to a sharper economic slowdown in the second half.

In contrast to the general trend, BofA private clients made the largest additions to stocks in eight weeks.

Among regions, emerging-market stock funds attracted inflows of US$2.1 billion in the week, while US equities had redemptions for a third straight week at US$9 billion. Outflows also resumed from European funds. By style, US value and small cap saw additions, while money left growth and large cap funds. Energy led sectoral inflows, and materials and financials saw the biggest outflows. BLOOMBERG