Arm gets Wall Street’s ‘buy’ on royalty plan, cloud expansion
SEVERAL Wall Street brokerages started coverage of Arm Holdings with their top ratings on Monday (Oct 9), saying the chip designer’s dominance in the smartphone market and potential for expansion into data centres could power earnings growth.
The flurry of recommendations marked the end of the quiet period for the nearly 30 banks that underwrote Arm’s initial public offering, which raised US$4.87 billion for owner SoftBank Group last month in the biggest listing of the year.
The “buy” or equivalent ratings, from brokerages including J.P.Morgan and Goldman Sachs, are a vote of confidence in Arm’s plan to grow revenue by charging higher royalty fees and increasing its share of the cloud and automotive markets.
The British company’s growth has been shackled in the past year by a slump in the smartphone market, in which it has a 99 per cent share across Google’s Android and Apple’s iOS devices.
“We expect Arm to not only expand on its presence in the smartphone market primarily through higher royalty rates, but to also extend its reach across applications to which it is under-indexed,” Goldman Sachs said, setting a price target of US$62.
Other brokerages including Citi, Deutsche Bank, Mizuho and TD Cowen set price targets in the range of US$57 to US$85, with the most bullish view coming from Rosenblatt Securities. Arm shares last closed at US$54.08, compared with the IPO price of US$51.
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They were up 0.6 per cent on Monday, defying broader market weakness.
TD Cowen said Arm faces some challenges from the weak smartphone market, but its current revenue represented an “under-monetisation of its importance to the industry”.
Citi predicted that Arm could become one of the fastest-growing large chip companies with a compounded annual revenue increase of 18 per cent through fiscal year 2027.
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Such growth would benefit SoftBank, which told investors ahead of the Arm IPO that it plans to remain the majority owner in the company it considers its crown jewel.
But some brokerages, including HSBC, urged caution, saying Arm’s shares could remain range-bound as uncertainty over a smartphone market recovery pressures earnings.
Before Monday, only those brokerages that did not work on Arm’s IPO were allowed to offer recommendations on the stock, and their opinion was generally more sceptical. Three of them had initiated Arm with a “hold” rating and one with a “strong sell,” LSEG data showed.
On Monday, at least 17 brokerages started covering Arm, with an average rating of “buy” and a median price target of US$63.50. REUTERS
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