The Business Times

Nvidia hits US$2 trillion valuation as AI frenzy grips Wall Street

Published Fri, Feb 23, 2024 · 11:10 PM

NVIDIA hit US$2 trillion in market value on Friday (Feb 23), riding on an insatiable demand for its chips that made the Silicon Valley firm the pioneer of the generative artificial intelligence boom.

The milestone followed another bumper revenue forecast from the chip designer that drove up its market value by US$277 billion on Thursday – Wall Street’s largest one-day gain on record.

Its rapid ascent in the past year has led analysts to draw parallels to the picks and shovels providers during the gold rush of 1800s as Nvidia’s chips are used by almost all generative AI players from chatGPT-maker OpenAI to Google.

That has helped the company vault from US$1 trillion to US$2 trillion market value in just around nine months – the fastest among US companies and in less than half the time it took tech giants Apple and Microsoft.

“For AI companies today – the leaders of the sector – what’s going to be binding for them is not going to be demand. It’s just going to be their capacity to answer the surging demand,” said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote Bank.

Nvidia’s shares were trading about 3 per cent higher at a record high of US$808 on Friday, maintaining its position as the third most valuable US firm.

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That gave the company a market value of US$2.05 trillion, compared with US$1.52 trillion at the end of January. Its shares have surged nearly 60 per cent this year, after more than tripling in value in 2023.

The chip designer’s 2024 share jump has been crucial for the S&P 500’s performance, contributing to more than a quarter of the stock index’s rise this year.

Its latest market-beating forecast of a whopping 233 per cent growth in first-quarter revenue helped global markets notch record highs on Thursday.

The breakneck growth has drawn analysts and investors from far and wide to Nvidia.

“I’m a European fund manager, but I must have had more emails about their results than I’ve had about any other set. There have been calls, every broker doing 10-minute debriefs, it’s been mind boggling,” said one investor, who declined to be named.

Despite the share surge, Nvidia’s valuation has fallen due to rapid increases in analysts’ estimates. It has a 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 31, down from 49 times a year ago, according to LSEG data.

“Leading cloud computing companies plan to boost their capital expenditures to satisfy demand for artificial intelligence training and inference, and it appears that virtually all this spending will fall into Nvidia’s pockets,” said Brian Colello, a strategist at Morningstar.

“We anticipate revenue will rise by a couple of billion each quarter throughout fiscal 2025 for Nvidia as more chip supply comes online.” REUTERS

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