Baltic Exchange Shipping Insights

A roundup of the week’s tanker and dry bulk market (Oct 21, 2022)

Published Mon, Oct 24, 2022 · 05:50 AM
    • Overall the capesize sector had a relatively stable week amid ups and downs with tightness being seeing in some regions.
    • Overall the capesize sector had a relatively stable week amid ups and downs with tightness being seeing in some regions. PHOTO: FILE

    Capesize

    Week-on-week the average of the weighted 5TC average declined $790, finishing the week at $17,175. The Brazil to Qingdao trade slipped $2 throughout the week, while the West Australia to Qingdao trade remained static in the low/mid $9s. From the North Atlantic, both the transatlantic and fronthaul runs lifted midweek but showed signs of softening by the end, pricing at $24,194 and $36,875 per day respectively. But overall the sector had a relatively stable week amid ups and downs with tightness being seeing in some regions.

    Panamax

    The Panamax market returned a mixed week. Rates in the Atlantic were largely seen under pressure throughout the trading week. Solid demand from NoPac kept rates in Asia well supported throughout, although the market did taper off as the weekend approached. A distinct lack of mineral demand from the North were largely the contributing factors to the easing in rates in the North Atlantic. $19,000 concluded early in the week but was viewed closer to $18,000 by the weekend. US Gulf grains appeared to be back in focus again with numerous accounts of November arrivals being concluded, delays at Neo-Panama Canal were again impacting rates. Asia again proved to be dominated by solid levels of activity from the NoPac with $23,000 the high being agreed for a nicely described 82,000-dwt delivery Japan on a NoPac round trip. Limited period activity but a smart design delivery China achieved $19,000 basis 5/7 months.

    Ultramax/Supramax

    A split week for the sector as Asia lacked impetus with limited fresh enquiry and a build up of prompt tonnage. However, overall, the sentiment remained positive in the Atlantic. Period activity was limited but a 61,000-dwt open Poland was fixed for one year in the mid $17,000s and a 63,000-dwt giving delivery Singapore fixed a similar period at $17,000. From the US Gulf, activity remained with ultramax sizes seeing close to $30,000 for trips to China. Further south, steady activity from east Coast South America with 58,000-dwt fixing in the low to mid $17,000s plus around $725,000 ballast bonus for trips to the Indian Ocean – Arabian Gulf regions. Limited coal movement from Indonesia saw sentiment waning over the week. A 53,000-dwt fixing delivery passing Singapore trip via Indonesia redelivery Vietnam in the mid $14,000s. Further north, a 58,000-dwt open CJK fixed a trip to the US Gulf at around $13,000.       

    Handysize

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    With continued negativity in Asia, rates took a large step down this week. A 40,000-dwt was rumoured to have been fixed for a trip from Japan to Southeast Asia at $13,500 and a 37,000-dwt open in China was fixed for a trip via Indonesia back to China at $12,000. A 31,000-dwt was fixed from Singapore via Australia to Southeast Asia at $11,000 with an intended cargo of salt. There has been more activity in the US Gulf, and a 39,000-dwt was rumoured to have been fixed for a trip from Houston to Tunisia with an intended cargo of grains in the low $17,000s. A 36,000-dwt was rumoured to have been fixed for a trip from Savannah to the UK-Continent with an intended cargo of wood pellets in the mid-teens but further details had yet to emerge. A 28,000-dwt was fixed from Santos to Algeria with an intended cargo of sugar at $26,000.

    Clean

    The BCTI finished the week at 1231, up from 1226 the previous week. 

    In the Middle East Gulf freight levels stabilized with cargos evenly balanced with tonnage. Most routes consequently registered marginal increases from where they were the same time last week. The LR2s of TC1, 75k Middle East Gulf/Japan, went up from WS196.25 to WS197.81 (+1.56), a round-trip TCE of $36,162/day.  LR1s have also seen a similar flat trajectory over the last week with TC5, 55k Middle East Gulf/Japan, climbing 6.43 points to WS199.29. On TC8 Middle East Gulf/UK Cont, again the rates were barely budging from last week’s numbers finishing at 52.05 $/mt (a lumpsum equivalent of approximately $3.38m). 

    The MRs of TC17, 35kt Middle East Gulf/East Africa, were also subdued with charterers keeping cargoes back resulting in drop of 29.76 points to WS338.57 a round trip TCE of $31,219/day.  

    West of Suez, on the LR2s, TC15, 80k Mediterranean/Japan, have also softened losing $45,833 and finishing the week at $3,716,667. 

    The LR1s of TC16 60k Amsterdam / Offshore Lomé softened slightly by WS2.14 ending up at WS228.57. 

    On the UK-Continent, MRs freight levels registered gains with TC2 37k UK-Continent/US Atlantic Coast breaking through the WS300 mark to finish at WS301.94, (+WS23.05). TC19 37k Amsterdam to Lagos, followed suit and finished at WS 311.07 (+WS20.3). 

    Rates for US Gulf MRs have calmed from their previous volatility and now appear subdued. TC14 38k US Gulf / UK-Continent, increased to WS197.50 (+3.33) and TC18 the MR US Gulf/Brazil run also increased to WS308.33 (+13.33).  MR Atlantic Basket finished the week at 38,683 (+3,200). 

    VLCC

    The VLCCs saw an upward trend across the board with large gains made especially when looking east. 270,000mt NHC Middle east Gulf to China rose over 13.5 points to finish at WS107.5 (a TCE Round trip earning of $72,199) while West Africa-China 260,000mt NHC rose by over WS15, to close at WS107.45 (a round trip TCE Earning of 71,595). USG/China 270,000mt NHC saw similar rises gaining over $1M throughout the course of the week to finish at $11,700,000 a TCE round trip of $56,830.

    A slightly more muted market going west still saw increases with Middle East/USG rising to finish the week at WS57.33 (an increase of over $8,500 per day TCE earning to $21,595 per day round trip). 

    Suezmax

    The Suezmax market from the Black Sea saw slight gains rising to WS192.56 with a TCE daily return of $82,190. This was outperformed by the Middle East market, which had a further increase of over WS12 points closing at WS97.94 (a daily TCE Earning round trip of $26,078) for AG/Med 140,000mt NHC liftings.

    Aframax

    The Aframax market in the US has seen high volatility with huge gains especially made in the Caribbean-USG 70,000mt route, which ended at WS 380.63 – an increase of WS156.25 over the course of the week. This was followed, if slightly less impressively, by gains of WS65 for USG-ARA 70,000mt which still finished on WS 300 – a high for the year so far – and gave a TCE daily return of $65,7562 per day round trip.

    Over in Europe the market was steadier with increases for all routes but modestly so in comparison to the US. North Sea – Continent 80,000mt gained WS 5 points over the week to WS211.56, while Baltic-UKC 100,000mt saw almost WS 10 points to finish at WS 233.75 (a TCE round trip daily earning of $77,390).

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    This report is produced by the Baltic Exchange. The Baltic Exchange, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Singapore Exchange, is the world’s only independent source of maritime market information for the trading and settlement of physical and derivative contracts. Its international community of over 650 members encompasses the majority of world shipping interests and commits to a code of business conduct overseen by the Baltic. For daily freight market reports and assessments, please visit www.balticexchange.com.  The report is also available online at bt.sg/baltic.

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