The Business Times

UPS beats profit estimates on higher parcel delivery prices

Published Tue, Oct 25, 2022 · 11:45 PM

UNITED Parcel Service (UPS) on Tuesday (Oct 25) reported a stronger-than-expected quarterly adjusted profit and reaffirmed its full-year forecast after higher delivery prices and cost controls offset softening e-commerce demand.

Delivery firms such as UPS and FedEx are pursuing higher-margin small to large business customers to support volumes and earnings as the pandemic-driven e-commerce bubble deflates and shoppers wrestle with soaring inflation.

After scrambling to keep up with surging e-commerce volume in the early days of the pandemic, UPS and other delivery providers are now saddled with excess delivery capacity and face the high-stakes task of predicting demand in a rapidly changing market. Keeping too many planes in the air and delivery trucks on the road fuels excess costs that quickly sap profits.

“The macro environment is very dynamic, but we are on track to achieving our 2022 financial targets by executing our strategy and controlling what we can,” UPS chief executive Carol Tomé in the company earnings release.

Shares in the world’s largest parcel delivery firm rose 2.9 per cent to US$172.43 in early trading after the company also reaffirmed its full-year revenue forecast of about US$102 billion and adjusted operating margin of around 13.7 per cent.

Rival FedEx last month pulled its annual forecast, citing a sharp global slowdown at the end of August.

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“Third-quarter results fit with view that UPS got ahead of the slowing freight cycle and has a better grip on costs than FedEx,” Cowen analyst Helane Becker said in a note.

Looking ahead, Tomé and other executives signalled that volume in the critical year-end holiday season would soften due to package limit agreements with Amazon.com, its largest customer. They also expect to be busier in the days leading up to Christmas than last year, when shoppers bought goods early to avoid product shortages.

The Atlanta company’s adjusted third-quarter profit rose to US$2.99 per share, beating Wall Street’s estimate of US$2.84 per share.

Revenue per piece in its biggest and e-commerce-dependant domestic unit increased 9.8 per cent for the quarter from a year earlier, even as demand weakened.

UPS reported third-quarter revenue of US$24.2 billion - just missing analysts’ estimate of US$24.3 billion, as consolidated average daily package volume declined 2.1 per cent to 22.9 million in the quarter. REUTERS

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