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Biggest 2016 risk may be the one just behind us: oil

Goldman Sachs reckon that US crude could shed almost 50 per cent from here to US$20 next year

Published Wed, Dec 9, 2015 · 09:50 PM

London

THE biggest financial risk in 2016 may be the one that's been on stage all year.

In Britain's popular Christmas pantomime shows, audiences scream out "He's behind you!" as a warning to the hero whenever the villain appears.

That refrain is almost audible as investment strategists scan 2016 for risk events, as the well-known baddie of plummeting oil prices re-emerges from behind the curtain.

It's so familiar now, it's hard to register a further oil price drop as a 'new' risk, however.

Financial markets have been living with the consequences of the energy deflation since mid-2014, and the fallout has been pervasive. The idea of another shock of that magnitude is unnerving to say the least.

More than a trillion dollars of market capitalisation has been wiped off oil stocks worldwid…

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